TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe77b…f10a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
256
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 61 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10953.2%58 W · 51 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 109 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.94
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$266.21
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.04
Spread: Nuggets (-16.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$570.92
Spread: Kings (-2.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$719Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$718.58
Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$31.2
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$234.73
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.51
Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$722Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+115.5%+$834.18
Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+106.5%+$516.11
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.49
Spread: Suns (-1.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.11
Mavericks vs. Hawksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.18
Spread: Hawks (-10.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$127.97
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,290.44
Grizzlies vs. 76ersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$330.32
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.32
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$544Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+100.1%+$545.23
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+203.2%+$296.12
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$946Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$630.66
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$401.19
Spread: Hornets (-4.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$154.18
Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$27.53
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+59%+$19.86
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+69.5%+$17.25
Showing 25 of 109 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT6960.9%42 W · 27 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.89
Devils vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.69
Panthers vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+81.4%+$21.78
Maple Leafs vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$889Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$889.06
Maple Leafs vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.85
Ducks vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.75
Spread: Senators (-1.5)backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.46
Ducks vs. Jetsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+122.7%+$126.71
Kings vs. Bruinsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Blue Jackets vs. Lightningbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+204%+$224.18
Sharks vs. Sabresbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.94
Red Wings vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+85.3%+$99.1
Senators vs. Canucksbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$152.01
Spread: Capitals (-1.5)backed Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.81
Rangers vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$129.54
Kings vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+74.3%+$94.8
Kraken vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$193.63
Canucks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+38.9%+$11.02
Blues vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+51.5%+$253.77
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$135.26
Blackhawks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$601Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$453.71
Maple Leafs vs. Flamesbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$12.13
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+95.3%+$165.46
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+51.5%+$97.81
Bruins vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+138.1%+$104.03
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST3366.7%22 W · 11 L+5.6wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wichita State Shockers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+42.7%+$51.02
USC Trojans vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 159.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+92.3%+$24.49
USC Trojans vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 158.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+104.1%+$52.04
Chicago State Cougars vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 129.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+131.3%+$33.64
Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+95.3%+$86.65
Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+108.3%+$53.15
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 166.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+100%+$48.17
Spread: South Florida Bulls (-4.5)backed Florida Atlantic Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20.78
CSUN Matadors vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: O/U 157.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+100%+$39.26
Utah Valley Wolverines vs. California Baptist Lancersbacked California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+92.3%+$62.18
UC Irvine Anteaters vs. California-San Diego Tritonsbacked UC Irvine Anteaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+140.2%+$120.16
Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. Utah Tech Trailblazers: O/U 149.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$140.86
Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Fairfield Stags: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+99.5%+$86.17
Weber State Wildcats vs. Montana State Bobcats: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50.63
Boston College Eagles vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish: O/U 135.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+117.4%+$45.7
Spread: Bethune-Cookman Wildcats (-9.5)backed Jackson State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$19.81
Jackson State Tigers vs. Bethune-Cookman Wildcats: O/U 157.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+96.1%+$13
Air Force Falcons vs. Boise State Broncos: O/U 135.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$22.87
Air Force Falcons vs. Boise State Broncos: O/U 134.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15.56
Spread: Jacksonville Dolphins (-2.5)backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20.86
Eastern Kentucky Colonels vs. Jacksonville Dolphins: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+98.8%+$64.34
Morgan State Bears vs. Howard Bison: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$38.19
Spread: Norfolk State Spartans (-13.5)backed Norfolk State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$14.15
Spread: Navy Midshipmen (-10.5)backed Navy Midshipmen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+96.3%+$35.99
Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Marist Red Foxes: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+98.7%+$57.53
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+52.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Final Stage: USA vs. Venezuelabacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.1
Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USAbacked Dominican Rep. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,247.93
First Round Pool B: Mexico vs. Italybacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.19
First Round Pool B: USA vs. Italybacked Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+1,100.6%+$801.14
First Round Pool A: Puerto Rico vs. Canadabacked Puerto Rico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.42
First Round Pool D: Netherlands vs. Israelbacked Israel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+168.4%+$142.71
First Round Pool C: Japan vs. Czechiabacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.42
First Round Pool A: Puerto Rico vs. Cubabacked Puerto Rico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$37.48
First Round Pool D: Nicaragua vs. Venezuelabacked Nicaragua · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.98
First Round Pool A: Panama vs. Colombiabacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$216.94
First Round Pool B: Great Britain vs. Brazilbacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.78
First Round Pool D: Israel vs. Dominican Rep.backed Israel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.86
First Round Pool C: Australia vs. South Koreabacked South Korea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$188.92
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$705Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+37%+$260.73
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,465Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+71.5%+$1,047.77
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$51.98
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$198.23
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$106.1
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$5,358Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$5,358.04
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$334.54
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+100%+$88.61
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$895Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$461.14
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick61cpaid-36.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+89.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+88.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+112.8%+$48.89
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+63.9%+$39.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$87.77
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$161.25
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$14.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$80.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.