MLB · resolved market
First Round Pool B: Mexico vs. Italy
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30ac6b3fbc44e0101efd71f9ce8aae11b42850d0d548e4aa206a1732209f0b80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Italyof Mexico, Italy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $288,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $288,779 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe42c…7297backed Mexico | 0c | 19,870$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Mexico | 63c | 18,686$11,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,772.17 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4565…6549backed Mexico | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Italy | 37c | 10,813$3,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,860.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe037…c96ebacked Mexico | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Italy | 37c | 9,465$3,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,963.45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Italy | 31c | 9,309$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,384.03 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Italy | 52c | 8,678$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,177.62 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Mexico | 69c | 7,872$5,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,464.93 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Italy | 38c | 7,698$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,773.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Italy | 31c | 6,582$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,530.51 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Mexico | 68c | 6,017$4,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071.57 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Mexico | 23c | 5,632$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.84 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…a473backed Mexico | 70c | 5,522$3,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,868.86 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Mexico | 8c | 5,461$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.47 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Mexico | 11c | 3,997$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.71 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Italy | 36c | 3,869$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,470.28 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Mexico | 19c | 3,698$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.41 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Italy | 38c | 3,440$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132.81 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x691f…5e69backed Mexico | 3c | 2,882$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.58 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd39…234fbacked Mexico | 64c | 2,642$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e2…2c81backed Italy | 36c | 2,642$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…8a41backed Mexico | 7c | 2,590$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.88 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Italy | 28c | 2,420$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.36 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7837…40f1backed Mexico | 67c | 2,329$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Mexico | 7c | 2,255$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.38 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Mexico | 72c | 2,115$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.34 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa206…ab03backed Mexico | 62c | 2,056$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Italy | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3717…e6dcbacked Mexico | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Mexico | 63c | 1,935$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.03 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Italy | 28c | 1,882$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.17 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Italy | 64c | 1,714$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.55 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Mexico | 70c | 1,650$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Mexico | 2c | 1,600$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Mexico | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Italy | 27c | 1,449$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.76 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mexico | 6c | 1,385$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.34 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Mexico | 71c | 1,373$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.37 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3e…ca47backed Italy | 79c | 1,372$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.69 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5391…f44abacked Mexico | 71c | 1,347$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.61 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Italy | 33c | 1,335$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.36 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mexico | 69c | 1,300$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.64 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mexico | 5c | 1,275$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Italy | 33c | 1,210$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.73 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb149…0a3dbacked Mexico | 64c | 1,137$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.61 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…db04backed Mexico | 18c | 1,106$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mexico | 13c | 1,082$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.49 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…5e23backed Italy | 29c | 1,081$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…2759backed Mexico | 70c | 1,059$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.72 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Italy | 72c | 1,046$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.75 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…3531backed Mexico | 52c | 1,042$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.99 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Mexico | 32c | 1,022$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.36 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Mexico | 19c | 1,008$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.32 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0571…78bebacked Italy | 30c | 1,007$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Mexico | 1c | 1,001$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Mexico | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf26…609fbacked Italy | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Italy | 48c | 956.06$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.86 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cc…bfaabacked Mexico | 4c | 936.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Italy | 28c | 934$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.62 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Italy | 33c | 929.55$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.8 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Mexico | 71c | 848.62$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.52 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Mexico | 3c | 811.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50d7…e17cbacked Mexico | 64c | 777.34$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…9f3bbacked Italy | 37c | 747$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x863c…655cbacked Italy | 29c | 695$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.05 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Italy | 53c | 658.74$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.74 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…dd35backed Mexico | 66c | 610.96$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -75%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Italy | 77c | 574$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.74 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Italy | 32c | 569.74$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.83 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Mexico | 26c | 565.01$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.29 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Mexico | 21c | 561.98$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed Italy | 37c | 535.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.47 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bc…2450backed Italy | 38c | 523.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Mexico | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…0416backed Mexico | 10c | 494.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…367dbacked Mexico | 66c | 490$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.3 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Mexico | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Italy | 29c | 461.15$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.19 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd5…b12abacked Mexico | 55c | 456.27$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Mexico | 71c | 438.26$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.71 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Italy | 75c | 410.3$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.57 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…1395backed Italy | 52c | 409.41$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7c…8d4cbacked Italy | 32c | 405.05$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +161.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…5ec0backed Mexico | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe87…062abacked Mexico | 29c | 379.79$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…089abacked Mexico | 50c | 375.8$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.43 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4543…38acbacked Mexico | 7c | 367.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Italy | 29c | 362.98$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.35 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6970…ef65backed Mexico | 64c | 356.38$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.08 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Italy | 35c | 354.29$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.29 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…13bfbacked Mexico | 66c | 350$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55e9…150dbacked Italy | 30c | 334.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…eeeebacked Italy | 32c | 306.25$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.25 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2286…3ccfbacked Mexico | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Italy | 31c | 300$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ae…6fc3backed Mexico | 67c | 297.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.71 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +190.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…1b97backed Mexico | 66c | 289.18$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.2 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Mexico | 34c | 287.95$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.