TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3717…e6dc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
178
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 60 out of 100; worst MLB at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT9874.5%73 W · 25 L+11.6wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+17.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 98 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,115Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$919.15
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+100.8%+$25.1
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$851.35
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.95
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.4
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.27
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.33
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$55.37
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.04
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.42
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.56
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$36.75
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$27.83
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$220.48
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.96
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.6
Showing 25 of 98 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4634.8%16 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$374
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,925Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,925
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.13
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.8
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.8
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.5
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$3,516Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,516.08
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$312
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$312
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$625Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$395.41
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+600.8%+$570.76
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.5
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.29
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona Open: Reilly Opelka vs Ethan Quinnbacked Reilly Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.73
Barcelona Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jack Draperbacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.82
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.57
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Mirra Andreeva vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.08
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Pedro Martinez vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.35
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix, Qualification: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Vera Zvonarevabacked Vera Zvonareva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.05
Madrid: Toby Samuel vs Zsombor Pirosbacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+83%+$40.35
Monza: Mattia Bellucci vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$27.52
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Sebastian Ofner vs Alejo Sanchez Quilezbacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.87
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Jesper de Jong vs Benjamin Bonzibacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.23
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix, Qualification: Jule Niemeier vs Anna-Lena Friedsambacked Anna-Lena Friedsam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+59%+$23.06
Wuning: Harry Wendelken vs Li Tubacked Harry Wendelken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$15.25
BMW Open, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Diego Dedura-Palomerobacked Diego Dedura-Palomero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.05
BMW Open, Qualification: Jan Choinski vs Marc-Andrea Hueslerbacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.1
All 15 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$117.91
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+86.4%+$51.03
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.64
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.17
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.99
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$171
All 8 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Kraken vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Final Stage: USA vs. Venezuelabacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$448
First Round Pool B: Mexico vs. Italybacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$9.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.