TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kraken vs. Panthers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Panthersof Kraken, Panthers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,232,392

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,232,392 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 682 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5bec…b215backed Kraken46c579,478$267,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267,513.2816442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Panthers54c211,498$113,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97,987.1151550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Panthers54c100,000$54,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,00022443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Kraken45c94,669$43,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,057.241,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Kraken46c89,505$41,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,172.2310840.7%44 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Panthers54c80,331$43,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,892.636748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Panthers54c61,040$32,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,078.448549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Panthers57c35,717$20,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,340.7127448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Kraken4c31,899$1,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334.8315057.3%86 W · 64 L+14.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+44.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xebbb…4214backed Panthers55c29,514$16,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,254.7712835.9%46 W · 82 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Panthers54c26,724$14,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,180.5461950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Panthers54c25,021$13,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,506.0641850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Panthers54c16,433$8,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,488.851,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kraken43c15,529$6,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,688.6589636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Panthers55c15,524$8,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,976.912330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-46.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Panthers54c10,333$5,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,753.313351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Panthers54c10,000$5,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,6251,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Kraken46c9,094$4,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,183.4430348.8%148 W · 155 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Kraken44c8,786$3,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,865.941,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kraken37c8,674$3,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,203.532,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Panthers53c7,670$4,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,604.9321850.9%111 W · 107 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Panthers56c7,148$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,147.9540356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Panthers56c7,000$3,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,079.9750049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kraken44c6,649$2,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,937.471,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Panthers54c6,507$3,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,012.6712838.3%49 W · 79 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Kraken43c6,386$2,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,745.8510650%53 W · 53 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Kraken43c6,259$2,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,689.271,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kraken42c6,070$2,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,556.023,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Panthers54c6,000$3,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,76022747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Panthers55c5,045$2,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,264.941,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb74…997cbacked Kraken46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3001942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Panthers54c4,653$2,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,140.2148545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Kraken41c4,440$1,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,838.381,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Panthers55c4,395$2,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,977.5585250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ff9…a78bbacked Panthers54c4,372$2,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,011.286262.9%39 W · 23 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xac4d…8e7ebacked Panthers54c4,333$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,993.331172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+33%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Panthers54c4,200$2,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,93243548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Panthers54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,84039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Panthers54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,84027850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Panthers54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,84060249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Panthers53c3,946$2,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,854.382,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x607d…53a1backed Panthers54c3,900$2,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,79413446.3%62 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32dd…c881backed Panthers55c3,559$1,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.551675%12 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Panthers65c3,462$2,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.9842254.3%229 W · 193 L+18.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Panthers54c3,367$1,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,548.7864242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Kraken28c3,353$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.9133234.3%114 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Panthers54c3,201$1,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,487.6145955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Panthers54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,38027048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Panthers53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,41019353.9%104 W · 89 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc689…5250backed Panthers53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.993959%23 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Panthers66c2,908$1,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.741,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae5…45b7backed Panthers54c2,879$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.492100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee52…1817backed Kraken47c2,838$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.85540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Kraken46c2,814$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.528252.4%43 W · 39 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8d3…1bbabacked Kraken46c2,726$1,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.35540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ce…6c7fbacked Panthers54c2,685$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.88475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Panthers54c2,555$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.391945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Kraken46c2,500$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15031848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Panthers54c2,500$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,15027547.6%131 W · 144 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Kraken13c2,400$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.9960337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Kraken45c2,356$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.1930552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1296…902ebacked Kraken47c2,277$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.2812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.39per pick52cpaid-78.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Panthers55c2,225$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.253253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Panthers54c2,200$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0057354.8%40 W · 33 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5043…84b5backed Panthers54c2,156$1,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.91475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+48.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Kraken44c2,093$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.9913856.5%78 W · 60 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+32.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd45b…457ebacked Panthers54c2,068$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.34450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd3…41f8backed Kraken49c2,035$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Panthers54c2,000$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93062346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Kraken46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9201,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Panthers54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92020450%102 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Kraken42c1,958$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.8895049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…f6d7backed Kraken47c1,947$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.2930%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Kraken41c1,923$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.732,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Panthers54c1,921$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.921,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d63…0b78backed Panthers54c1,850$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.226261.3%38 W · 24 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa001…5c59backed Kraken46c1,780$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Panthers54c1,740$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.444551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Panthers54c1,620$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.8776950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fa3…172fbacked Panthers54c1,526$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.946256.5%35 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Kraken45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.0638849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Panthers53c1,500$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70558352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Panthers53c1,486$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.4283149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff8…8a76backed Panthers54c1,468$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.316245.2%28 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12dd…9a0cbacked Panthers54c1,428$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.9742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26a5…4c43backed Panthers54c1,356$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.95475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+54.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Kraken43c1,335$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.771,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ea8…6ef8backed Panthers54c1,288$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Kraken47c1,288$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.3612355.3%68 W · 55 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Kraken45c1,200$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54357157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Panthers53c1,162$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.3341354.5%225 W · 188 L+17.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fe6…5abfbacked Panthers54c1,148$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.01666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4920…2b87backed Panthers53c1,140$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.81181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.32per pick49cpaid+66.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4f4c…a6a1backed Panthers56c1,115$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.291421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-56.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Panthers55c1,111$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.9589249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Kraken23c1,099$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.3199638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Panthers55c1,091$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.918350.6%42 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd714…9a62backed Kraken46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006845.6%31 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Panthers54c1,019$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.5231848.1%153 W · 165 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Panthers55c1,010$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.662249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.