NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a62fafa776461e9bfeb20ce100eaec6a7fa10b25ca6bf185ce3243ad10acefb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $289,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $281,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $289,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 282 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 53c | 60,342$32,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,148.52 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 45c | 32,555$14,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,564.64 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Under | 55c | 21,289$11,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,674.84 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under | 46c | 20,495$9,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,427.7 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 55c | 19,724$10,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,912.69 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 48c | 12,830$6,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,620.93 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 11,461$5,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,368.99 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Under | 45c | 11,125$5,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,006.45 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9926…8c13backed Under | 50c | 7,792$3,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,896.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f78…f679backed Under | 48c | 7,637$3,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,665.65 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 54cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x753a…0015backed Over | 50c | 7,547$3,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,773.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 47c | 7,418$3,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,477.24 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 47c | 5,550$2,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,608.33 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed Under | 45c | 5,398$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429.1 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Under | 47c | 5,175$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,432.25 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6d…305dbacked Over | 53c | 5,172$2,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed Under | 46c | 5,103$2,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,347.45 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23e3…23c6backed Under | 46c | 4,953$2,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,278.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +482.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 53c | 4,091$2,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.69 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 54c | 4,053$2,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.32 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…5350backed Over | 48c | 3,426$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.34 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 46c | 3,152$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.97 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 56c | 2,921$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.15 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…96cbbacked Over | 46c | 2,832$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.22 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 55c | 2,781$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.95 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 47c | 2,766$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.76 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…92d6backed Over | 60c | 2,757$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.51 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 56c | 2,595$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.95 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 55c | 2,517$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.01 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 44c | 2,089$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.72 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 54c | 2,024$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.46 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 48c | 2,001$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.77 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Under | 46c | 1,800$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae17…8e49backed Over | 45c | 1,519$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Over | 44c | 1,514$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.93 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 67c | 1,504$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.11 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.99 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Over | 45c | 1,463$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.68 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 1,454$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.04 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 34c | 1,447$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.19 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c06…a1c1backed Over | 45c | 1,421$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…0b30backed Over | 45c | 1,309$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.21 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…9d97backed Over | 45c | 1,260$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e23…a1ebbacked Over | 53c | 1,253$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.3 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1066…1786backed Over | 52c | 1,225$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Under | 43c | 1,211$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.55 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 48c | 1,208$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.33 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf7…efa2backed Over | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb39d…7a6dbacked Over | 45c | 1,143$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 41c | 1,123$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.84 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28af…7de0backed Over | 54c | 1,110$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.99 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Under | 45c | 1,107$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.01 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 1,077$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.76 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 54c | 1,050$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…8a14backed Over | 45c | 1,043$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…5dedbacked Under | 46c | 1,036$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1,049.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 52c | 1,036$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.25 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Under | 53c | 1,020$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.6 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 45c | 1,017$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.26 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b3…eeaebacked Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +327.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9a…58fcbacked Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +848.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5c…3872backed Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Under | 53c | 999.95$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.98 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3464…8112backed Over | 46c | 978.37$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.88 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7595…50ffbacked Over | 51c | 970.6$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.59 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4b…104ebacked Over | 45c | 950$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b01…dee1backed Over | 57c | 854.56$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.46 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 37c | 844.44$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.48 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 46c | 755.14$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.71 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed Over | 45c | 749.13$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.15 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 46c | 737.96$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.41 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 56c | 695.43$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.99 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed Over | 46c | 694.69$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +162.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Over | 57c | 648.45$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.67 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 36c | 634.53$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.6 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…9872backed Under | 55c | 619.18$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.55 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c21…6ce6backed Under | 50c | 599.1$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.55 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 47c | 587.31$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.51 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Over | 76c | 586.54$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.95 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 47c | 557.68$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.11 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 47c | 535.93$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.63 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 51c | 535.07$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.53 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Under | 45c | 531.85$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.33 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over | 50c | 520.62$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.31 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 52c | 466.39$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.87 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 459.62$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.35 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 47c | 452.13$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.05 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Over | 46c | 440.26$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.74 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6040…446cbacked Over | 53c | 428.12$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.71 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab2…b321backed Over | 50c | 422.18$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 42c | 403$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.26 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 54c | 398.9$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.48 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x927a…f706backed Under | 46c | 388.86$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.31 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 46c | 378.66$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.99 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Under | 54c | 377.75$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 39c | 342.14$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.73 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 2.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Mike Conley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 31.5No won
- Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)Nuggets won
- Timberwolves vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 221.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 224.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.