NBA · resolved market

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf638539a40a2f763a6895902f3d09eb311b049e0bc03ac1fc6832f7e135acab6

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Nuggetsof Nuggets, Timberwolves
Resolved: Apr 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,960,833
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,943,225

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,960,833 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 983 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Nuggets	50c	577,719$288,860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288,859.68	262	53.8%141 W · 121 L	+10.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Nuggets	50c	531,963$264,890 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$267,072.5	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6211…b89ebacked Nuggets	51c	490,385$250,096 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240,288.64	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Timberwolves	50c	451,481$224,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224,038.48	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Timberwolves	50c	402,173$201,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201,029.89	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Timberwolves	49c	308,747$151,286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151,285.88	168	41.1%69 W · 99 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Timberwolves	50c	298,643$148,219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148,219.2	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves	49c	207,182$102,447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102,447.12	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54d2…ac37backed Nuggets	49c	157,718$77,282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80,436.09	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Timberwolves	49c	132,799$65,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65,012.22	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Timberwolves	51c	80,000$40,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40,599.98	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Timberwolves	49c	69,543$34,371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,371.46	376	27.9%105 W · 271 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7436…b38abacked Timberwolves	51c	64,060$32,670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,670.4	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Timberwolves	52c	49,196$25,582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,581.97	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Nuggets	50c	48,131$24,256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,875.37	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Nuggets	50c	48,061$24,257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,804.33	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661f…098abacked Nuggets	50c	44,036$22,106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,930.23	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+4.0wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+14%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Timberwolves	50c	42,122$21,061 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,060.97	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Timberwolves	50c	40,000$20,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,000	70	48.6%34 W · 36 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Nuggets	51c	38,063$19,412 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,650.75	99	45.5%45 W · 54 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Timberwolves	51c	35,000$17,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,850	747	48.5%362 W · 385 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Timberwolves	51c	30,000$15,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,300	126	39.7%50 W · 76 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Nuggets	51c	28,790$14,555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,234.69	323	51.1%165 W · 158 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Nuggets	49c	27,008$13,360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,648.04	649	48.2%313 W · 336 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves	50c	26,275$13,026 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,026.13	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Timberwolves	49c	24,225$11,870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,870.39	369	54.7%202 W · 167 L	+28.0wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Nuggets	50c	20,090$10,045 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,044.84	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Nuggets	49c	20,000$9,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,199.99	382	51%195 W · 187 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Nuggets	50c	19,885$9,943 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,942.5	102	48%49 W · 53 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Nuggets	50c	19,400$9,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,699.99	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Timberwolves	50c	19,251$9,703 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,703.05	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Nuggets	51c	19,176$9,722 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,453.9	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Nuggets	56c	18,083$10,186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,896.51	252	48.4%122 W · 130 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Timberwolves	38c	17,533$6,679 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,679.11	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf721…ecf5backed Nuggets	48c	17,358$8,332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,025.99	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Timberwolves	50c	17,247$8,623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,623.25	246	50%123 W · 123 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nuggets	49c	14,850$7,325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,524.8	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Nuggets	67c	12,818$8,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,268.7	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves	41c	11,344$4,706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,705.88	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Nuggets	50c	10,481$5,291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,189.61	209	46.9%98 W · 111 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x901f…74e9backed Nuggets	49c	10,137$4,967 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,169.79	100	46%46 W · 54 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+27%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3214…63d6backed Timberwolves	42c	10,132$4,299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,298.94	83	31.3%26 W · 57 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Timberwolves	46c	10,051$4,643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,642.74	442	52.3%231 W · 211 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf09a…a371backed Nuggets	48c	10,011$4,805 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,205.69	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7fd…89debacked Nuggets	50c	9,700$4,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,850	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-2.2wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Timberwolves	20c	9,520$1,904 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,904	110	34.5%38 W · 72 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Nuggets	51c	8,953$4,566 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,386.76	296	50.3%149 W · 147 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Timberwolves	25c	8,359$2,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,125.49	192	46.4%89 W · 103 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Nuggets	51c	8,153$4,158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,994.99	120	56.7%68 W · 52 L	+5.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Timberwolves	52c	8,000$4,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,160	584	49.7%290 W · 294 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Timberwolves	35c	7,768$2,711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,711.28	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Timberwolves	49c	7,399$3,626 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,625.53	148	42.6%63 W · 85 L	-7.8wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x189a…4765backed Nuggets	49c	7,389$3,621 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,768.49	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Timberwolves	35c	7,230$2,498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,497.51	1,752	40.6%712 W · 1,040 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Nuggets	51c	6,918$3,543 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,375.15	118	64.4%76 W · 42 L	+15.6wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Timberwolves	51c	6,471$3,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,300.04	97	43.3%42 W · 55 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-12%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb64f…0d2abacked Timberwolves	49c	6,100$2,989 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,988.96	48	56.3%27 W · 21 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Timberwolves	51c	5,940$3,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,009.96	328	46.6%153 W · 175 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Nuggets	60c	5,767$3,471 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,295.69	203	52.7%107 W · 96 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Nuggets	49c	5,539$2,714 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,825.11	59	40.7%24 W · 35 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Nuggets	49c	5,390$2,641 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,749.04	144	41%59 W · 85 L	-12.8wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Nuggets	51c	5,357$2,731 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,625.79	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	+57%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Timberwolves	50c	5,098$2,549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,549.2	433	48.5%210 W · 223 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Nuggets	51c	5,085$2,574 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,510.74	592	50.2%297 W · 295 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Timberwolves	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,449.98	242	52.5%127 W · 115 L	+18.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Nuggets	57c	4,756$2,723 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,033.66	690	49.4%341 W · 349 L	-30.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Nuggets	48c	4,461$2,143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,318.08	276	45.3%125 W · 151 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Nuggets	51c	4,334$2,196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,137.72	184	44.6%82 W · 102 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Nuggets	52c	4,185$2,155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,029.34	373	55%205 W · 168 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Timberwolves	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	587	40%235 W · 352 L	+24.3wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Timberwolves	51c	4,000$2,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,039.99	280	56.8%159 W · 121 L	+22.2wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+50.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Timberwolves	51c	4,000$2,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,039.99	175	53.7%94 W · 81 L	+7.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cce…6e85backed Nuggets	50c	3,948$1,964 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,983.96	220	39.1%86 W · 134 L	+14.0wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Timberwolves	50c	3,925$1,972 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,972.32	475	42.3%201 W · 274 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Nuggets	51c	3,882$1,980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,902.38	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Timberwolves	30c	3,825$1,146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,146	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Nuggets	51c	3,824$1,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,873.84	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6975…11c1backed Nuggets	49c	3,800$1,844 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,955.93	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Nuggets	75c	3,738$2,815 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$922.59	423	48%203 W · 220 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Timberwolves	7c	3,651$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.06	279	37.3%104 W · 175 L	+57.6wins	+0.21per pick	17cpaid	+187%equal weight	71+0.19 edge/pick
0xeb4b…57c6backed Nuggets	56c	3,515$1,972 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,542.61	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Nuggets	80c	3,293$2,630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$662.35	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	+3.2wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	+35.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Nuggets	51c	3,108$1,582 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,525.51	146	40.4%59 W · 87 L	-7.3wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23ef…1d4cbacked Nuggets	50c	3,005$1,502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,502.38	53	37.7%20 W · 33 L	-5.5wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-29%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x83a0…eabbbacked Nuggets	48c	2,952$1,417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,535.28	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+2.7wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Nuggets	50c	2,944$1,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,464.63	910	50.9%463 W · 447 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Timberwolves	50c	2,914$1,464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,464.04	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Nuggets	52c	2,914$1,515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,398.53	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3280…ea74backed Timberwolves	50c	2,910$1,455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,455	95	31.6%30 W · 65 L	-11.6wins	-0.12per pick	44cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Timberwolves	48c	2,835$1,368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,367.51	616	38.5%237 W · 379 L	-8.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95ab…76e2backed Timberwolves	50c	2,711$1,362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,362.2	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x373d…303fbacked Timberwolves	21c	2,599$545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$545.15	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	26cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdea…6951backed Nuggets	54c	2,558$1,369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,188.28	204	34.8%71 W · 133 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Timberwolves	51c	2,500$1,275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,275	898	53.1%477 W · 421 L	+21.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Nuggets	49c	2,418$1,180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,237.08	169	46.7%79 W · 90 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…884ebacked Timberwolves	24c	2,417$589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$589.34	82	25.6%21 W · 61 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Nuggets	50c	2,405$1,213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,192	148	54.1%80 W · 68 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Timberwolves	46c	2,402$1,097 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,096.86	552	51.3%283 W · 269 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Nuggets	52c	2,362$1,237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,124.25	402	43.8%176 W · 226 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Nuggets	52c	2,161$1,115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,045.71	529	51.2%271 W · 258 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)this page
1H Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Nuggets won
Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 2.5No won
Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 20.5No won
Jamal Murray: Points O/U 27.5No won
Mike Conley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 31.5No won
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)Nuggets won
Timberwolves vs. NuggetsNuggets won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 221.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 223.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 224.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event