TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe7fd…89de

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
135
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: MLB, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4841.7%20 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22,281Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+568.1%+$126,583.61
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$860Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+655.8%+$5,640
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,531Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+272.1%+$6,885.64
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,999.65
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24,396Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24,396.38
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,907Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,906.84
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$7,982Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,981.65
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,695Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,695
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,200
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$365
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$325
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,010Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+98%+$990
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,470
Will Bruno Fernandes record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$860
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$1,485.71
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,600
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$925Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$925
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14,604Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,604.26
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$920Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$919.99
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,359Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$4,359.14
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$915Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$914.67
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$5,499Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,499.26
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,802Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,802.07
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13,210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,210.39
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.33
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,600
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,500
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,360
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,466Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,465.97
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$424
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$856Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$2,313.36
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,869Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$3,431
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,620Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,620
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,900Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$2,100
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,400
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$5,000
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,850Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$4,850
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,850Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,850
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,950.06
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$5,856Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,856
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,176Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,175.75
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,850Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$4,850
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$365.86
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,950.06
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,251Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$4,473.04
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,650Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$5,037.76
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$7,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,230.21
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick57cpaid+51.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$240
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$4,400
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,403Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$2,175.5
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,315Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,894.35
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,830Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,830
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,776Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$2,094.53
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,877Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,999.57
All 7 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick51cpaid-81.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+44.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-33.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$44,522Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+84.8%+$37,747.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,350Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+49.3%+$1,649.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,521Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$885.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$8,006Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$8,006.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,269Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,268.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$7,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,949.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.