TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,522,874
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,543,040

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,522,874 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 527 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Cavaliers53c287,528$152,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152,389.6487451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Cavaliers51c251,915$128,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128,476.4520545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks51c111,867$57,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,768.5464948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Cavaliers51c100,000$51,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,999.9817251.7%89 W · 83 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Knicks48c83,333$40,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,333.339945.5%45 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Cavaliers52c69,333$36,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,052.9660351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Cavaliers52c60,000$31,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,199.913844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Knicks50c58,654$29,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,3275940.7%24 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x28d7…89edbacked Knicks47c53,930$25,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,5832138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Knicks50c40,000$19,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,199.9614842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Knicks49c39,644$19,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,218.447048.6%34 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked Cavaliers50c39,361$19,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,680.45933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Knicks47c38,776$18,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,551.1272648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Knicks47c34,286$16,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,171.6618651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks48c31,469$14,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,481.936,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Cavaliers50c29,656$14,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,82837355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers48c28,526$13,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,768.3469848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Knicks49c27,494$13,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,064.429349.5%46 W · 47 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Cavaliers33c21,419$7,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,132.6256646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf689…9d83backed Knicks47c21,277$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,276.61747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Cavaliers46c20,141$9,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,365.4311946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Knicks48c20,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,40021549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Knicks52c19,800$10,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,5046045%27 W · 33 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Cavaliers52c19,387$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,999.9863746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Cavaliers49c18,154$8,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,92011654.3%63 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4852…67c4backed Knicks50c13,400$6,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,7005655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Knicks50c12,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0003545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca28…49debacked Knicks52c10,938$5,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,265.762850%14 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Cavaliers53c10,638$5,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,638.143467.6%23 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Cavaliers54c10,158$5,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,475.2532351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks48c10,000$4,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2054,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Knicks46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,4002,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Cavaliers51c9,741$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.9890650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92b5…fec6backed Cavaliers53c9,434$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010747.7%51 W · 56 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Knicks51c9,000$4,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,41010049%49 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Knicks46c8,790$4,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,718.1976653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Cavaliers54c8,185$4,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,414.471,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Knicks44c8,043$3,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,536.971,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Knicks49c8,000$3,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,08038434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Knicks47c7,000$3,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,71024252.5%127 W · 115 L+18.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x03f8…d85abacked Knicks48c6,875$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5751384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.25per pick60cpaid+52.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Cavaliers50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cc…0b39backed Knicks50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0003953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Knicks50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00012450.8%63 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x108d…b85dbacked Knicks50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0004100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Knicks51c5,882$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,882.355954.2%32 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Knicks47c5,832$2,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,091.0216841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Cavaliers52c5,788$3,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,009.8625753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe49d…ff91backed Knicks48c5,788$2,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,009.865655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6111…4742backed Knicks52c5,740$2,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,755.291471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+31.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Knicks46c5,712$2,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,084.262,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Knicks50c5,335$2,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,667.5120155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Knicks47c5,131$2,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,727.9834255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Knicks49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,55057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Knicks49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5509447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7fd…89debacked Knicks50c4,932$2,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,465.972941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Cavaliers71c4,921$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50018853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Knicks48c4,850$2,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,521.9914940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Knicks50c4,598$2,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,298.7755251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa538…12c3backed Knicks47c4,485$2,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,397.872975.9%22 W · 7 L+7.1wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.4%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Knicks46c4,327$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,327.4532045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Knicks48c4,271$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,220.8330452.6%160 W · 144 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6211…b89ebacked Cavaliers52c4,170$2,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,168.418148.1%39 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9c5…1d81backed Cavaliers50c3,939$1,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,969.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Knicks47c3,830$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,029.7912652.4%66 W · 60 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Knicks51c3,500$1,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.9586641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Knicks49c3,469$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,769.3920945.5%95 W · 114 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Knicks49c3,458$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,758.3312542.4%53 W · 72 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Knicks50c3,149$1,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.3522036.8%81 W · 139 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks39c3,030$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,855.648,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Cavaliers53c3,012$1,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,596.368840.9%36 W · 52 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e8a…a5bcbacked Knicks49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5308242.7%35 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Knicks49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53050346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Knicks53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,41017247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Cavaliers47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.9869149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Cavaliers45c2,876$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Knicks48c2,665$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.4962144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Knicks47c2,500$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32556843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Knicks51c2,157$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.866043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Knicks48c2,100$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,09216050%80 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Cavaliers53c2,038$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08062948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb68b…9b23backed Knicks49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0206556.9%37 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Knicks50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00011759.8%70 W · 47 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Knicks48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04015247.4%72 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Knicks49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02013642.6%58 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Knicks50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0007143.7%31 W · 40 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-19.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks50c2,000$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99066352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x896a…688dbacked Knicks48c1,979$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.116336.5%23 W · 40 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Cavaliers54c1,857$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9914854.1%80 W · 68 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1895…efd2backed Knicks63c1,737$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.989346.2%43 W · 50 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers49c1,610$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.154,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc83f…23e4backed Knicks54c1,606$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.21225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Knicks40c1,583$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.563756.8%21 W · 16 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Knicks46c1,522$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.882,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e1…d10dbacked Knicks48c1,348$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.811573.3%11 W · 4 L+5.1wins+0.34per pick39cpaid+102%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Cavaliers54c1,338$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.9641449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Cavaliers51c1,300$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.2762051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Cavaliers50c1,297$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.751,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Knicks28c1,293$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.8489444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cavaliers66c1,284$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.5353842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.