NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dd3ab7fe015c7f6e49e6e023d3e7fc1dcfc256f87aff5783bac2bf12a052f6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 38c | 5,044$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,115.98 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Under | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 77c | 1,567$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.41 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 6.5%8 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 1%1 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf01…c782backed Under | 1c | 1,350$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Under | 72c | 1,100$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 48c | 1,074$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.5 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b54…76eabacked Over | 15c | 1,013$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +234.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 9c | 904.4$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.27 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 735.4$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.47 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 29c | 683.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 34c | 654$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.33 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Under | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 249 | 36.9%92 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 51c | 411.8$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.1 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 50c | 406.25$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.25 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 52c | 357.02$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.65 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Under | 45c | 332.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.84 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 18c | 320.85$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.2 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 18c | 308$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.56 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 29c | 307.88$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.9 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4d…5413backed Under | 53c | 301.89$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 26c | 299.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.28 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f61…f488backed Under | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x034a…9ddcbacked Under | 41c | 241.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb120…f2ffbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Over | 9c | 198$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.25 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 62c | 188.15$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.49 | 274 | 63.5%174 W · 100 L | +34.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 19c | 164.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd424…bf7bbacked Over | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 36c | 160.66$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.11 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 47c | 143.72$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.17 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2716…f658backed Under | 52c | 137.23$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Over | 70c | 126.27$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60da…a14ebacked Under | 53c | 90.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 16c | 84.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.77 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 47c | 62.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb722…1098backed Over | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 31c | 52.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 279 | 45.9%128 W · 151 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcebe…0720backed Under | 47c | 44.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…28dabacked Over | 49c | 40.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1e…f51cbacked Under | 46c | 40.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…6d41backed Over | 75c | 40.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Over | 78c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Over | 48c | 36.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ec…81bebacked Under | 43c | 29.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…ca37backed Over | 74c | 26.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 47c | 23.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x208e…9d17backed Under | 53c | 22.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9e…5347backed Under | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Dean Wade: Points O/U 0.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 19.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Knicks (-17.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.