TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x52ec…6d41

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
280
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 52 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT22355.2%123 W · 100 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 223 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.3
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.36
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.87
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+120.6%+$12.66
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+126%+$36.06
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.64
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.92
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.81
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.03
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.71
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.4
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$19.23
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.7
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+64.7%+$26.95
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+80.6%+$14.85
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.6
Showing 25 of 223 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT2166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+71.5%+$14.98
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$15.09
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.19
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$16.47
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$9.86
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.39
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.4
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$10.06
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 198.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+41%+$10.24
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+79.8%+$19.06
76ers vs. Jazzbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$6.83
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$44.8
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+63.9%+$20.52
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.79
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.44
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.03
Heat vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+38.9%+$9.21
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+100%+$18.66
Trail Blazers vs. Wizardsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$14.01
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+78.8%+$26.88
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.6
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+220%+$27.74
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$10.34
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+189.7%+$20.58
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 DR Congo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.61
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$13.15
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.42
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$34.17
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$19.78
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.28
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+134.8%+$20.76
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Play-In Group Cbacked Nexus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.81
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs BIG Academy (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$19.71
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs K27 (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$33.51
All 9 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-54.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+42.9%+$9.39
San Diego State Aztecs vs. Grand Canyon Antelopesbacked San Diego State Aztecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$23.58
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Colorado Buffaloesbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.