Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs AVULUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc22fe5b677ec2fb8d91f8354b518e1f4c5090eee4f942f59a9293d45e5585672
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AVULUSof Virtus.pro, AVULUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Virtus.pro | 0c | 4,505$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3532…3711backed AVULUS | 47c | 3,270$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.97 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…14adbacked Virtus.pro | 64c | 2,841$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454f…04e7backed AVULUS | 36c | 2,841$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked AVULUS | 41c | 2,823$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.95 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Virtus.pro | 44c | 1,904$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.42 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3adf…49efbacked AVULUS | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0c…6b95backed Virtus.pro | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked Virtus.pro | 52c | 1,278$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.36 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Virtus.pro | 44c | 1,145$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.96 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde29…2c8cbacked AVULUS | 34c | 1,049$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.34 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68fc…ad11backed AVULUS | 34c | 919.99$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb102…b9febacked AVULUS | 35c | 915$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x174a…6f03backed AVULUS | 36c | 899$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15bd…e897backed AVULUS | 35c | 768.98$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fc…122ebacked Virtus.pro | 66c | 655$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0672…5763backed Virtus.pro | 66c | 547$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…61dabacked Virtus.pro | 64c | 536$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae96…e1a2backed Virtus.pro | 65c | 466$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x665e…b053backed Virtus.pro | 65c | 449$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb97a…5855backed Virtus.pro | 68c | 443.13$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe197…a4cebacked Virtus.pro | 66c | 394$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…faddbacked Virtus.pro | 65c | 385$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd47b…5a9ebacked Virtus.pro | 65c | 384$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed AVULUS | 40c | 375$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Virtus.pro | 61c | 373.7$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.96 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a5…665ebacked Virtus.pro | 66c | 373$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80e7…6906backed Virtus.pro | 64c | 363$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f02…5100backed AVULUS | 63c | 207.37$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked AVULUS | 35c | 206.34$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.67 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked AVULUS | 33c | 199.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.98 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked AVULUS | 27c | 197.41$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.64 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked AVULUS | 35c | 172$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.8 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Virtus.pro | 42c | 171.69$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.31 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked AVULUS | 38c | 160.92$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.06 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed8e…e61bbacked Virtus.pro | 64c | 155.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x955f…a811backed Virtus.pro | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed AVULUS | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…c11abacked Virtus.pro | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed AVULUS | 33c | 143.91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.02 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9f80…89d2backed AVULUS | 36c | 140$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…583abacked Virtus.pro | 67c | 117.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59aa…3376backed Virtus.pro | 61c | 114.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -46%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed AVULUS | 47c | 108.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.23 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…e817backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 105.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Virtus.pro | 58c | 103.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.87 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Virtus.pro | 40c | 102.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…561cbacked Virtus.pro | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed AVULUS | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…7d4abacked Virtus.pro | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…1691backed AVULUS | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Virtus.pro | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Virtus.pro | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed AVULUS | 43c | 92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed AVULUS | 35c | 91.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.43 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…7aa1backed Virtus.pro | 64c | 90$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…b7f3backed AVULUS | 36c | 82.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Virtus.pro | 46c | 80.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked Virtus.pro | 67c | 79.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Virtus.pro | 44c | 71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked AVULUS | 33c | 70$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked AVULUS | 50c | 66.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb271…8498backed AVULUS | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55dc…7557backed AVULUS | 36c | 58.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Virtus.pro | 66c | 57.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfe…2fd8backed AVULUS | 31c | 56.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked AVULUS | 37c | 56.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 176 | 38.6%68 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6438…255bbacked AVULUS | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 52.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed AVULUS | 22c | 51.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +195.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d1…4e28backed Virtus.pro | 79c | 50.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3460…04fdbacked Virtus.pro | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked AVULUS | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed AVULUS | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb69…ac1bbacked AVULUS | 40c | 49.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd515…0023backed Virtus.pro | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Virtus.pro | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0d…e696backed Virtus.pro | 48c | 43.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…a0c7backed Virtus.pro | 76c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Virtus.pro | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked AVULUS | 37c | 37.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0050…5271backed Virtus.pro | 67c | 35.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…9168backed Virtus.pro | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…6d41backed Virtus.pro | 59c | 29.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed AVULUS | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddd…d755backed AVULUS | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Virtus.pro | 65c | 21.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Virtus.pro | 63c | 18.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Virtus.pro | 71c | 14.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Virtus.pro | 70c | 14.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs AVULUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs AVULUS - Game 1 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs AVULUS - Game 2 WinnerAVULUS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.