TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbb69…ac1b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Dota2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs magic (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.42
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs 9z (BO3) - Ace South American Masters Playoffsbacked Gaimin Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs Vasco Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group Stagebacked Vasco Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+170.3%+$34.05
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30.3
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs 9z (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group Stagebacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.9
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$91.95
Counter-Strike: Omega vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Play-In Group Bbacked Omega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+139.1%+$76.37
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs RED Canids (BO3) - FiReCONTER Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick24cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Open Sud de France: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Arthur Filsbacked Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Transylvania Open: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Stefanini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Ostrava Open: Tatjana Maria vs Katie Volynetsbacked Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$17.16
Ostrava Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Anna Blinkovabacked Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Ostrava Open: Brenda Fruhvirtova vs Fiona Ferrobacked Fruhvirtova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+400%+$80
Open Sud de France, Qualification: Andrea Vavassori vs Hugo Grenierbacked Grenier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Ostrava Open: Diane Parry vs Oceane Dodinbacked Dodin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Open Sud de France, Qualification: Clement Tabur vs Martin Dammbacked Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Transylvania Open: Miriam Bulgaru vs Olga Danilovicbacked Bulgaru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Ostrava Open: Alycia Parks vs Julia Grabherbacked Grabher · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Simona Waltertbacked Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Janice Tjen vs Maya Jointbacked Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 13 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Terriers vs. Holy Cross Crusadersbacked Holy Cross Crusaders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Southeastern Louisiana Lions vs. Lamar Cardinalsbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$46.35
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Oregon Ducksbacked Oregon Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$39.99
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+239.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zuffa Boxing 2: Kalajdzic vs. Gvozdyk (Light Heavyweight, Main)backed Kalajdzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+239.1%+$148.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$29.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.