Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 1win vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d6243921bd4f124042f238a6219495e2090242123d083802eb8fa7f1f8d540a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof 1win, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,728
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,728 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed 1win | 58c | 19,807$11,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,293.1 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Virtus.pro | 44c | 14,272$6,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,242.4 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed 1win | 55c | 10,254$5,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,572.21 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 8,352$3,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,913.73 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Virtus.pro | 0c | 7,618$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Virtus.pro | 40c | 5,313$2,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.36 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 3,034$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.96 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked 1win | 44c | 2,261$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.33 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb88…b1d7backed Virtus.pro | 19c | 1,759$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb97a…5855backed 1win | 50c | 993.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Virtus.pro | 44c | 710.84$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.16 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…7d4abacked 1win | 72c | 694.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.93 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed 1win | 56c | 626.51$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.6 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed Virtus.pro | 52c | 605.69$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.76 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -7.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked 1win | 68c | 502.36$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Virtus.pro | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Virtus.pro | 52c | 472.98$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.95 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 450$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.5 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Virtus.pro | 51c | 420$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.23 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Virtus.pro | 57c | 390.03$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.51 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Virtus.pro | 48c | 350$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Virtus.pro | 59c | 339.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.01 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1win | 54c | 311.79$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.55 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Virtus.pro | 50c | 302.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.47 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed 1win | 69c | 277.28$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 1win | 60c | 250.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.93 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…7954backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Virtus.pro | 51c | 216.57$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.85 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…6c62backed Virtus.pro | 22c | 202.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed 1win | 58c | 189$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.82 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…1691backed Virtus.pro | 44c | 186.95$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.45 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked 1win | 57c | 172.14$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.63 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 162.94$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.58 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 159.57$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.47 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked 1win | 59c | 148.2$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked 1win | 70c | 143.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed 1win | 61c | 140.75$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed 1win | 40c | 135$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 130$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Virtus.pro | 36c | 122.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…03cbbacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 109.92$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…2149backed Virtus.pro | 49c | 105.1$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked 1win | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…6274backed 1win | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 171 | 52%89 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32b…90c8backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed 1win | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…b7f3backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 95.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c49…b222backed Virtus.pro | 17c | 85.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 84.22$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Virtus.pro | 51c | 83.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3532…3711backed 1win | 52c | 78.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb271…8498backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Virtus.pro | 48c | 69.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Virtus.pro | 52c | 66.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 65.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 151 | 31.8%48 W · 103 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Virtus.pro | 51c | 62.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked 1win | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 176 | 38.6%68 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed 1win | 42c | 56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa17e…7584backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 55.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Virtus.pro | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 54.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 52.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed 1win | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Virtus.pro | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed 1win | 46c | 48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Virtus.pro | 47c | 47.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked 1win | 48c | 44.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 43.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85d…6832backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 124 | 38.7%48 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed 1win | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked 1win | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…b93cbacked Virtus.pro | 42c | 39.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb69…ac1bbacked 1win | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…3eb1backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 37.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d80…7a4bbacked Virtus.pro | 47c | 33.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…0abbbacked Virtus.pro | 39c | 27.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed 1win | 46c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Virtus.pro | 51c | 24.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…600ebacked 1win | 44c | 23.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked 1win | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 444 | 74.8%332 W · 112 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…93eabacked 1win | 71c | 18.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4694…7527backed 1win | 79c | 18.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -4.6wins | -0.42per pick | 69cpaid | -65%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Virtus.pro | 58c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 60cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f3…1fc1backed 1win | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 1win vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: 1win vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner1win won
- Dota 2: 1win vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 WinnerVirtus.pro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.