TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd362…b7f3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 52 out of 100; worst Lol at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1625%4 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-39%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$86
LoL: Team Vitality vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$38
LoL: Natus Vincere vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+185.7%+$55.58
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$18
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$36.29
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+194.1%+$46.59
LoL: TLN Pirates vs ZYB Esport (BO1) - LFL Invitational Souper Groupbacked TLN Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+153.7%+$30.75
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$29.5
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Comedy Central Winter Snowdown Group Bbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$150
LoL: GOAL vs WLGaming Esports (BO2) - HLL Regular Seasonbacked GOAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$35
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DRX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$99.93
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$99
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$99.94
All 16 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stagebacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$17.2
Dota 2: 1win vs AVULUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stagebacked AVULUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$17.43
Dota 2: 1win vs AVULUS - Game 1 Winnerbacked AVULUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$35.2
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stagebacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+82%+$99.88
Dota 2: 1win vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stagebacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Dota 2: 1win vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+127.3%+$38.18
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs AVULUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stagebacked AVULUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+175.2%+$52.56
Dota 2: AVULUS vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked AVULUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$49.97
All 9 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick33cpaid-73.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$26.88
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+112.8%+$95.4
Valorant: 6GPA vs ALTERNATE aTTaX (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Playoffsbacked 6GPA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.1
Valorant: All Gamers vs XLG Gaming (BO5) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Map Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+1.5)backed Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.35
Map Handicap: NV (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)backed Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$22.45
Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25.14
Valorant: TYLOO vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.9
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST80%0 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion (BO3) - RES Showdown Spring Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs TYLOO (BO3) - Yuqilin Pinnacle of Battle Playoffsbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20.54
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs 9z (BO3) - Ace South American Masters Playoffsbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$22.1
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs 9z (BO3) - Ace South American Masters Playoffsbacked Gaimin Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.48
Counter-Strike: magic vs Favbet (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Playoffsbacked Favbet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs VP.Prodigy - Map 1 Winnerbacked VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.95
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Sinners (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Playoffsbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$29.9
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15.84
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$21.67
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+177.8%+$48
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+163.2%+$72.93
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$49.8
All 4 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.