Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87128af6608fbc969ea4b5425b33aea0a497d35e8b40c54fd383e41734e78249
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Team Yandex, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Yandex | 68c | 11,712$7,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,806.43 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Spirit | 50c | 6,161$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080.36 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Spirit | 49c | 5,160$2,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,517.76 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Yandex | 48c | 3,714$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.14 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Spirit | 25c | 3,577$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.23 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex | 52c | 3,569$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.07 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…2d8dbacked Team Yandex | 52c | 3,463$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.44 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Team Spirit | 52c | 3,271$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.72 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Team Spirit | 47c | 3,194$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.98 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Yandex | 56c | 3,088$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.58 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc736…7255backed Team Spirit | 51c | 2,990$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.49 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Team Spirit | 52c | 2,905$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.16 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Yandex | 50c | 2,774$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.27 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Yandex | 52c | 2,308$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.51 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3532…3711backed Team Yandex | 50c | 2,157$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.4 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Team Yandex | 53c | 2,094$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.3 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Team Yandex | 49c | 2,071$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.9 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ab…0fe6backed Team Spirit | 48c | 1,907$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Team Spirit | 48c | 1,564$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.51 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked Team Spirit | 39c | 1,164$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.25 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Team Yandex | 49c | 1,106$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.11 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Team Yandex | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Team Spirit | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Spirit | 50c | 724.06$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.16 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Yandex | 50c | 654.62$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.03 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2d…77b4backed Team Spirit | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59e8…b8f7backed Team Yandex | 75c | 573.83$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.4 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Team Yandex | 76c | 531$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.44 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Spirit | 52c | 517.92$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.74 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe4…706bbacked Team Spirit | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda12…38d6backed Team Spirit | 52c | 485.92$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.68 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Spirit | 38c | 467.55$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.48 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…6c62backed Team Yandex | 61c | 440.26$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bc…2f60backed Team Yandex | 57c | 422.98$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.98 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d97…f2bebacked Team Spirit | 49c | 409.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Team Spirit | 49c | 409.6$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.3 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…4a8dbacked Team Yandex | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…50c3backed Team Spirit | 48c | 381.63$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb007…7f04backed Team Spirit | 19c | 357$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.83 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Spirit | 49c | 307.98$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.91 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Team Spirit | 49c | 300$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x453e…eabcbacked Team Yandex | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…80d5backed Team Spirit | 48c | 299.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc19…0650backed Team Yandex | 52c | 299.97$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.98 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1976…e363backed Team Yandex | 54c | 267.09$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.94 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce6…030ebacked Team Spirit | 47c | 250$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Yandex | 63c | 250$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…7e3ebacked Team Spirit | 41c | 240.63$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Team Spirit | 46c | 229.96$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.58 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ca…3283backed Team Spirit | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…b7f3backed Team Yandex | 55c | 221.67$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed Team Spirit | 46c | 217.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d86…ea87backed Team Spirit | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…1a6ebacked Team Spirit | 49c | 202.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Team Yandex | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Spirit | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Team Spirit | 51c | 194.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6976…3185backed Team Yandex | 51c | 191.9$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.37 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9383backed Team Yandex | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f8…cfaabacked Team Spirit | 55c | 183.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Team Spirit | 33c | 168.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.34 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Team Spirit | 35c | 166.83$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Team Spirit | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3375…ba50backed Team Spirit | 32c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Team Spirit | 52c | 136.54$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ff…2df7backed Team Yandex | 78c | 112.22$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Team Spirit | 36c | 110$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Spirit | 52c | 104.44$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.29 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…be27backed Team Spirit | 48c | 104.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Team Spirit | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479b…7235backed Team Yandex | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Team Spirit | 30c | 98.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e32…6e95backed Team Spirit | 51c | 97.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d8…b150backed Team Spirit | 52c | 96.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…ecb6backed Team Yandex | 64c | 93.22$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…3432backed Team Spirit | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe10a…7ee7backed Team Spirit | 35c | 89.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Spirit | 53c | 89.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c49…b222backed Team Spirit | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3a…780cbacked Team Yandex | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…d2b5backed Team Yandex | 66c | 74.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…4088backed Team Yandex | 79c | 74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…18a2backed Team Spirit | 27c | 73.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Team Spirit | 40c | 72.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Team Spirit | 49c | 70.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f37…c150backed Team Yandex | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Yandex | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…2d98backed Team Spirit | 48c | 60.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Spirit | 48c | 59.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc887…c181backed Team Yandex | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc8…d266backed Team Spirit | 48c | 58.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Team Spirit | 58c | 56.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Team Spirit | 35c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Team Spirit | 42c | 49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Team Spirit | 22c | 47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Spirit | 51c | 46.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…8439backed Team Spirit | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc2…b42bbacked Team Spirit | 25c | 41.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5524…2f3cbacked Team Spirit | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…52bebacked Team Yandex | 49c | 40.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-InTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- First Blood in Game 1?Team Yandex won
- Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)Team Yandex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.