TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc887…c181

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
170
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT10251%52 W · 50 L-9.8wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-21.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 102 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+168.9%+$42.24
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$12.92
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+51%+$20.38
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.72
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.28
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.7
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.96
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.68
LoL: T1 Academy vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.51
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.66
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.94
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.54
LoL: KT Rolster vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.53
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$29.72
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$22.28
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$15.47
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.02
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$12.7
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$9.04
Showing 25 of 102 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT2948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5.77
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.24
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.72
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.65
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$19.09
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+305.1%+$57.17
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.05
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$26.67
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$63.15
Dota 2: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+356.3%+$71.27
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+42.9%+$10.48
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+56.3%+$8.44
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Aurora vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$26.39
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+38.9%+$19.44
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.62
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.92
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.94
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.18
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26.7
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.77
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.67
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+156.4%+$35.19
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$17.73
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+192%+$86.41
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca - Map 2 Winnerbacked Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11.54
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+150%+$15
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+62.3%+$9.97
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+47.1%+$8.76
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+33.3%+$10
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick65cpaid-55.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+86%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First Round Pool C: South Korea vs. Chinese Taipeibacked Chinese Taipei · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+70.7%+$62.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.