TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of BNK FEARX, T1
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$223,753
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$266,437

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $223,753 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9024…a444backed BNK FEARX0c40,000$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105482.1%1 W · 47 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-74%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked BNK FEARX29c23,847$6,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,912.141,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c8…cf96backed BNK FEARX0c11,750$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.87341.1%30 W · 43 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick32cpaid-15.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9b49…04a8backed T171c10,000$7,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,90039964.4%257 W · 142 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked T171c8,852$6,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,567.1538462%238 W · 146 L-0.4wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked BNK FEARX11c8,057$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.3544550.1%223 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked BNK FEARX29c7,667$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20026549.1%130 W · 135 L+21.5wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked T174c7,300$5,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,932.992,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed BNK FEARX0c5,432$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9194134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked T171c5,000$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,45067552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40ea…832fbacked BNK FEARX30c4,103$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.4320339.9%81 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed T174c4,000$2,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0401,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde6e…0169backed BNK FEARX7c3,917$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.2240435.1%142 W · 262 L-1.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed BNK FEARX26c3,680$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.7985836.2%311 W · 547 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b94…d382backed BNK FEARX1c3,429$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344119.5%8 W · 33 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-54.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1dfe…2ac7backed BNK FEARX3c2,246$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707843.6%34 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed BNK FEARX11c2,145$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.351,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed BNK FEARX26c2,141$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.661,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked T170c2,013$1,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.9325447.6%121 W · 133 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed BNK FEARX26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52057945.9%266 W · 313 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed BNK FEARX29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58032234.5%111 W · 211 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed BNK FEARX9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.991,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed BNK FEARX6c1,820$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.21,29426.6%344 W · 950 L+65.3wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x34f2…3bc2backed T171c1,600$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46453047.5%252 W · 278 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed BNK FEARX29c1,550$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4551,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed BNK FEARX27c1,516$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.3244335.4%157 W · 286 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ac5…bb92backed T172c1,509$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.4311439.5%45 W · 69 L-11.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-30%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed T173c1,462$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.8627957.7%161 W · 118 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed T171c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.4419053.2%101 W · 89 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked T175c1,393$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.0683560.8%508 W · 327 L+45.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed BNK FEARX19c1,337$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.41,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed T172c1,301$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.31,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fbe…7d07backed BNK FEARX30c1,250$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3708334.9%29 W · 54 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked BNK FEARX7c1,125$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.171,89937.1%705 W · 1,194 L-113.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d29…8e90backed T172c1,115$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.5519559%115 W · 80 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8479…40dfbacked BNK FEARX30c1,104$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.234528.9%13 W · 32 L-7.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-33.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed BNK FEARX2c1,100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.051,5173.3%50 W · 1,467 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed94…c059backed BNK FEARX5c1,080$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.816623.5%39 W · 127 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed BNK FEARX26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26085746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf301…4ce1backed BNK FEARX14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14021622.7%49 W · 167 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed BNK FEARX2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bfc…ce53backed T171c999.99$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29014158.2%82 W · 59 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked BNK FEARX28c999.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28029236%105 W · 187 L-0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed BNK FEARX27c999.98$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701,20835.8%432 W · 776 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed BNK FEARX29c998.01$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.4243539.5%172 W · 263 L-24.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked BNK FEARX25c990$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.524445.1%110 W · 134 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked T171c845$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.051,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked BNK FEARX27c822.2$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.996543.1%28 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed BNK FEARX28c799.89$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.6847533.3%158 W · 317 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c35…695fbacked BNK FEARX2c794.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed BNK FEARX30c780.63$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.192,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae5e…13bebacked BNK FEARX26c705.01$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.349541.6%206 W · 289 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c73…6dafbacked T171c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2352065.4%340 W · 180 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96f8…2560backed T176c657.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.8937660.9%229 W · 147 L-28.1wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-11.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked T174c648.16$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.3798956.8%562 W · 427 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed BNK FEARX28c610$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.63,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked T168c526$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.8285742.7%366 W · 491 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked BNK FEARX12c512$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.021,92242.2%811 W · 1,111 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked T171c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14526856%150 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682d…ec6dbacked BNK FEARX2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef24…f43ebacked T170c499.98$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.998847.7%42 W · 46 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed T170c477.8$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.3496149.9%480 W · 481 L+4.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed BNK FEARX9c440$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.575738.6%292 W · 465 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea5…6163backed T171c430$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.745366%299 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked BNK FEARX27c419.05$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.482,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdef2…98e0backed T172c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6711265.2%73 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed T171c406$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.87247.2%34 W · 38 L+8.3wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+14.6%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x747c…9ed5backed T177c400.04$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.72850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked BNK FEARX25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043442.4%184 W · 250 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec3a…7fedbacked BNK FEARX6c375$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.551450%7 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53a5…55dfbacked T172c373.43$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.643358.2%252 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked T171c352.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1135353.5%189 W · 164 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed BNK FEARX30c340$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10216439%64 W · 100 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed T174c337.91$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9179864.3%513 W · 285 L+32.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed T174c336.82$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.5749461.3%303 W · 191 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb941…b56bbacked T175c334.36$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.4131646.5%147 W · 169 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked BNK FEARX27c328.54$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7128852.1%150 W · 138 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed T174c322.65$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8632954.4%179 W · 150 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed BNK FEARX13c316.12$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.512,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed T174c311.37$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9654246.3%251 W · 291 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3908…20eabacked T171c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872857.1%16 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a07…923fbacked T171c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6935164.1%225 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe751…9af6backed T171c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6925945.2%117 W · 142 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4910…2ae7backed T173c273.33$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.936051.7%31 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d43…3f6cbacked T175c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6724568.6%168 W · 77 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed T178c257.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.546349.2%31 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked BNK FEARX13c256.54$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8795041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x321d…d0acbacked T170c250$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7512462.9%78 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a1…d6ecbacked T170c250$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7546650.9%237 W · 229 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1d50…f4c1backed T172c250$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked BNK FEARX26c249.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6542941.5%178 W · 251 L-24.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed T173c249.98$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4941343.6%180 W · 233 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed BNK FEARX28c240.64$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.491,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked T168c236$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.522,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed BNK FEARX30c233.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701,11435%390 W · 724 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed T172c231$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6874250.5%375 W · 367 L-1.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61a8…519dbacked T171c228.17$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1719653.1%104 W · 92 L+15.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+15.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7753…73cebacked T174c225.24$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5613164.9%85 W · 46 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed T177c207.46$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4640364.5%260 W · 143 L+0.8wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe6b…bc2abacked T171c206.15$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7828165.5%184 W · 97 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.