Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x800a2b70c34e55f8ceeedff2cbf53038fb29ef8ef318e0f0148b2ecc30a94077
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Over | 40c | 3,706$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.47 | 484 | 40.5%196 W · 288 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 60c | 792.16$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.86 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee6…01e1backed Under | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d3…9e97backed Under | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 60c | 429.23$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.69 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 38c | 210.32$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 266 | 39.5%105 W · 161 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a88…ded1backed Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 406 | 45.6%185 W · 221 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Over | 27c | 154.09$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99ef…184dbacked Under | 73c | 137.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 62c | 113.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…306fbacked Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 191 | 61.8%118 W · 73 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x692e…e0fbbacked Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…238bbacked Over | 27c | 62.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 227 | 41%93 W · 134 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 24c | 61.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…ee17backed Over | 40c | 58.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 40c | 57.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b19…babebacked Over | 42c | 47.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6923…7592backed Over | 40c | 47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3493…40afbacked Under | 68c | 35.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 345 | 65.5%226 W · 119 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef24…f43ebacked Under | 73c | 26.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…767cbacked Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 101 | 40.6%41 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…c314backed Under | 62c | 17.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4397…c3f0backed Under | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)T1 won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier PlayoffsT1 won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.