TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of T1, BNK FEARX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,399
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$110,317

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,399 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6918…782bbacked BNK FEARX51c23,901$12,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,165.151,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed T149c17,996$8,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,104.0351146.8%239 W · 272 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked T151c11,997$6,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,884.23732.4%12 W · 25 L-5.1wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-33.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked T176c10,683$8,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,563.8959558.3%347 W · 248 L-29.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked T179c6,675$5,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,369.8912664.3%81 W · 45 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick72cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked BNK FEARX49c6,500$3,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,18570456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked BNK FEARX50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked T148c4,470$2,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,324.2459248.3%286 W · 306 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed T149c4,196$2,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1401,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked BNK FEARX22c3,791$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.092,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed BNK FEARX48c2,817$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.0143539.5%172 W · 263 L-24.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed BNK FEARX50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.8791854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked BNK FEARX49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.9764749.9%323 W · 324 L-24.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed T152c1,900$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90311936.1%43 W · 76 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed BNK FEARX48c1,570$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.171,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed BNK FEARX50c1,523$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.4210648.1%51 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed BNK FEARX50c1,523$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.421,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked BNK FEARX22c1,430$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.648844.3%216 W · 272 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked BNK FEARX42c1,386$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.0944550.1%223 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed BNK FEARX48c1,130$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.2525143.4%109 W · 142 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked T148c1,004$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5221,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed T149c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51018336.6%67 W · 116 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked BNK FEARX49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49032457.7%187 W · 137 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed T152c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48047455.3%262 W · 212 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed BNK FEARX48c999.99$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed T153c999.96$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.9810541.9%44 W · 61 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked T152c888$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.241,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60cd…93f5backed T158c867.31$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.3123672%170 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed T150c867$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.516346.6%76 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed BNK FEARX50c700$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.430050.3%151 W · 149 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ba8…d72bbacked T150c687.61$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.6817659.7%105 W · 71 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ec6…698bbacked BNK FEARX31c650.58$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.684047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed T158c650$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.2385746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5217…ec29backed T154c649.99$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29921154.5%115 W · 96 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked T151c612.18$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.9750956.2%286 W · 223 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed BNK FEARX50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016439%64 W · 100 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed BNK FEARX44c598.15$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.777247.2%34 W · 38 L+8.3wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+14.6%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x45fa…f86fbacked T150c577.63$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.822250%11 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed BNK FEARX37c514.84$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.0544451.8%230 W · 214 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed T151c508.47$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.1523832.4%77 W · 161 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed BNK FEARX44c493.66$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.2152750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked T151c490.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.235353.5%189 W · 164 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a2c…5172backed T152c480.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.7743640.6%177 W · 259 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked T167c432.88$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.7396057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked T162c417.86$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.7929236%105 W · 187 L-0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b6…e762backed T151c410$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.96651.5%34 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed T150c403.75$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.991,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab2a…30edbacked BNK FEARX50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012347.2%58 W · 65 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9a2…b3cdbacked T152c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.627140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid0%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed BNK FEARX24c380$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.227050.7%137 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed BNK FEARX49c367$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.8329952.2%156 W · 143 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf66…e823backed T155c363$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.351346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed BNK FEARX50c351.56$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.782,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed BNK FEARX50c350$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1752,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c1…3e0bbacked T162c349.99$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13363646.9%298 W · 338 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed BNK FEARX46c348.75$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.291,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed T151c333.33$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.3365063.2%411 W · 239 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4e…9516backed BNK FEARX23c301.72$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.42437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f41…b387backed BNK FEARX45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1355554.5%30 W · 25 L+7.4wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+36.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked BNK FEARX46c290.97$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.8528150.5%142 W · 139 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed T154c278.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.1528652.8%151 W · 135 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed T151c268.18$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.4149847.2%235 W · 263 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8106…bd36backed T151c255.06$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.981643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed BNK FEARX45c249.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.491,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed T150c243.54$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.9960849.5%301 W · 307 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed T156c237.5$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.525154.2%136 W · 115 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2167…fa33backed T152c230.77$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.772842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f84…98f1backed T154c223.5$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.56738.8%26 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0fd…d036backed BNK FEARX37c210.66$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.822343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8637…0c86backed T158c207.1$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.111762.4%73 W · 44 L+12.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+16.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5b0b…612abacked T151c205.88$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8844046.4%204 W · 236 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb94…243cbacked T151c205.73$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.816540%26 W · 39 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked T154c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9260538.8%235 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9e2…68f1backed T151c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9821256.1%119 W · 93 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked T151c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbbb…3df5backed BNK FEARX45c199.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9930151.5%155 W · 146 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc20…8c98backed T151c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0810253.9%55 W · 47 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked BNK FEARX51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008253.7%44 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbdd…cd9dbacked T151c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0822562.2%140 W · 85 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x094d…5a65backed T151c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.085646.4%26 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4781…f6c5backed T152c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.313432.4%11 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd41c…e7b9backed T152c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.31666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd10f…bef4backed T152c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.313644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed BNK FEARX45c192.07$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4348440.5%196 W · 288 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa5…01b3backed T155c183.64$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.643046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed T155c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.828440.5%34 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cc0…7faabacked T151c180.39$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3911329.2%33 W · 80 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked T151c179$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.7144743.6%195 W · 252 L+1.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x500f…4c28backed T156c178.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8218849.5%93 W · 95 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b3c…9f22backed T154c167.04$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0412644.4%56 W · 70 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked T150c166.19$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.140741.5%169 W · 238 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed BNK FEARX49c155.37$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.138055%44 W · 36 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xed4e…916fbacked T151c154.9$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.916654.2%90 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked T155c152.05$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.421,35651.1%693 W · 663 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbbb…5693backed T149c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.54337.2%16 W · 27 L-5.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1a35…6fe0backed BNK FEARX45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.533642.3%142 W · 194 L-1.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe9f9…cc6abacked T152c147$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.566358.7%37 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf759…644dbacked T169c145.6$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.64252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked T169c145.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2650158.3%292 W · 209 L-17.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e5b…2b2dbacked T151c141.88$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5226155.9%146 W · 115 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.