TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1a35…6fe0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
720
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Dota2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 58 out of 100; worst Valorant at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT33642.3%142 W · 194 L-1.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 336 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.21
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$823Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$823.23
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,799.99
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,080Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$3,919.92
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,575Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,575
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.4
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$3,090Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,089.54
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$925Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$925
LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO3) - LFL Playoffsbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$245.49
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$243.81
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,600
Game Handicap: RED (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)backed RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$73.5
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$4,600
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$97.5
Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.5
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.23
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$190
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.7
LoL: Shifters vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,908Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,907.99
Game Handicap: SHFT (-1.5) vs Galions (+1.5)backed Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$50
LoL: Shifters vs Galions - Game 1 Winnerbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$46.95
LoL: GIANTX vs Solary - Game 2 Winnerbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$705Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$704.63
LoL: GIANTX vs Solary - Game 1 Winnerbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$799Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$798.66
Showing 25 of 336 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT17837.6%67 W · 111 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 178 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: paiN vs M80 (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.13
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$36.73
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffsbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$75
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$84.55
Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs 5star (+1.5)backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$90
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 Winnerbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$85.5
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Rune Eaters - Map 1 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$94.5
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$36.56
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$108
Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group Bbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$162
Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER - Map 2 Winnerbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$77.2
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+405.8%+$122
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.45
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Passion UA (+1.5)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.54
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.82
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.57
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Ground Zero - Map 2 Winnerbacked Ground Zero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.36
Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs Ground Zero (+1.5)backed Ground Zero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.61
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$87
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$87
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$15
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Showing 25 of 178 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT15642.3%66 W · 90 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 156 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,036Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$3,563.99
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs Team Liquid Academy (BO5) - VCL NORTH//EAST Playoffsbacked Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+905.1%+$1,063.5
Valorant: Sentinels vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Valorant: LOUD vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.09
Map Handicap: EDG (-2.5) vs XLG Gaming (+2.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)backed Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.13
Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs FOKUS (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Playoffsbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+193.3%+$22
Map Handicap: FKS (-1.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+1.5)backed Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.07
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.51
Map Handicap: DRG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.39
Valorant: MIR vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Playoffsbacked NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$22.16
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$81
Valorant: LOUD vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Valorant: KPI Gaming vs HGE Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked KPI Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.62
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Map 1 Winnerbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.05
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$84
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.24
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.17
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Valorant: GIANTX vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.73
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$38.5
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24
Valorant: QoR vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Showing 25 of 156 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT4854.2%26 W · 22 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$930Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$930
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$525
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,557Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,557.49
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$60
Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$55.5
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$67.5
Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$55.5
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.89
Game Handicap: PlayTime (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5)backed 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$78
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs MODUS (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked MODUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Carstensz (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stagebacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$55.86
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$23.48
Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5)backed Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$30.18
Game Handicap: RNX (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$67.5
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Abacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.5
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$80
Game Handicap: SAR (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5)backed Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$87
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+199.7%+$99.95
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs ALIS VENTORUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$2.97
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Team Lynx (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+120.7%+$27.35
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$30
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will UD Almería win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.67
Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$10
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.