Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33328f6a5c85e959d2f6185a5d0b41081e91167f9729bd15dc6b434940a02d75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof 1win, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked 1win | 31c | 10,727$3,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,420.11 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 58c | 8,086$4,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,698.81 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed PlayTime | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.98 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 1win | 41c | 2,212$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.56 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4f…9b0cbacked PlayTime | 67c | 1,936$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked 1win | 33c | 1,808$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.09 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed PlayTime | 75c | 1,773$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.05 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed 1win | 41c | 1,754$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.99 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed PlayTime | 66c | 1,675$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.71 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…bcb7backed 1win | 36c | 1,243$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.44 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…4ce8backed 1win | 44c | 1,141$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed PlayTime | 65c | 1,108$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.37 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed 1win | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked PlayTime | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed PlayTime | 61c | 958.6$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.76 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked PlayTime | 60c | 867.2$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.51 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed PlayTime | 67c | 861.18$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.54 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed PlayTime | 65c | 839.26$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.3 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed PlayTime | 60c | 754.4$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.64 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked PlayTime | 42c | 716.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.67 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked PlayTime | 13c | 636.39$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.76 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed 1win | 8c | 625$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…750abacked 1win | 36c | 611.5$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.9 | 163 | 28.8%47 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PlayTime | 54c | 602.37$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.95 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed 1win | 38c | 601.82$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.13 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked PlayTime | 63c | 561.53$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.54 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked 1win | 58c | 550$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…a898backed 1win | 46c | 546.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.4 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…7a8fbacked 1win | 47c | 535.53$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.53 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked 1win | 32c | 528.74$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.06 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…7d86backed 1win | 42c | 501.34$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.74 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked 1win | 49c | 493.66$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.6 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked PlayTime | 23c | 458$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.75 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked PlayTime | 72c | 446.49$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.03 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked 1win | 45c | 433.59$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.78 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2a…b7b5backed PlayTime | 79c | 399.99$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.99 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked PlayTime | 70c | 393.27$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.91 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed 1win | 42c | 389.83$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.1 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked 1win | 13c | 384.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.61 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed 1win | 40c | 378.83$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.51 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked PlayTime | 56c | 357.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.05 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked PlayTime | 28c | 353.03$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.58 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked 1win | 44c | 348.65$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.69 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed PlayTime | 62c | 338$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.43 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked 1win | 59c | 333.83$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.78 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked 1win | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked PlayTime | 61c | 299.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked 1win | 42c | 287.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…0848backed PlayTime | 53c | 284.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed 1win | 28c | 274.64$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.77 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea4d…c654backed 1win | 45c | 273.18$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed 1win | 28c | 271.56$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.81 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed PlayTime | 65c | 256.5$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.27 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06ad…4a6bbacked 1win | 45c | 255.96$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.78 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed 1win | 8c | 250$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed PlayTime | 7c | 241$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked PlayTime | 42c | 238.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed PlayTime | 43c | 229.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked PlayTime | 28c | 229.64$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1win | 40c | 210.56$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.99 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed 1win | 57c | 207.72$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.32 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…8078backed 1win | 61c | 206.08$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.49 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed PlayTime | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed PlayTime | 79c | 200$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed PlayTime | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed 1win | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.42 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed 1win | 66c | 197.5$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked PlayTime | 79c | 176.46$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.4 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked 1win | 32c | 163.33$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.73 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed PlayTime | 56c | 160.51$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.75 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed 1win | 23c | 160.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.27 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed PlayTime | 61c | 156.55$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.21 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed 1win | 66c | 156.16$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…a46bbacked 1win | 16c | 150$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4994…3e36backed PlayTime | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +19.9wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed 1win | 45c | 145.45$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed PlayTime | 60c | 140.3$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.95 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed PlayTime | 73c | 140$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.7 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed 1win | 34c | 133.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.92 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed PlayTime | 54c | 125$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 334 | 45.2%151 W · 183 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed 1win | 37c | 123.06$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.29 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked PlayTime | 37c | 121.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…49bbbacked PlayTime | 48c | 118.73$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed PlayTime | 67c | 117.36$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.18 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed 1win | 40c | 116.44$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.75 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…3469backed 1win | 18c | 105.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.95 | 215 | 51.6%111 W · 104 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed PlayTime | 55c | 105$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed PlayTime | 67c | 104.64$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.58 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked PlayTime | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed PlayTime | 78c | 97$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.66 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked PlayTime | 59c | 94.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.09 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed 1win | 37c | 89.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.84 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked 1win | 20c | 87.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.14 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed PlayTime | 49c | 86.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 1win | 28c | 86.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.35 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed 1win | 40c | 84.52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbef…f45fbacked 1win | 43c | 84.21$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 1win | 33c | 84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.04 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked 1win | 25c | 81.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.54 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed PlayTime | 65c | 77.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | -18.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Group APlayTime won
- Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 2 WinnerPlayTime won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.