TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd679…9ccf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
156
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Dota2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 58 out of 100; worst Valorant at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT14058.6%82 W · 58 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 140 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Bbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.16
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,089Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,089.13
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$438.99
Dota 2: MOUZ vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Dota 2: MOUZ vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+400%+$80
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$678Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$326.56
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.44
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+105.6%+$253.6
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winnerbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.49
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$330
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$693Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$692.52
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$608Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$607.93
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$527Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$526.8
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.72
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.32
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+237.8%+$840.27
Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$808Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$380.28
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.64
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winnerbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.91
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winnerbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$104.99
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+226.1%+$132.9
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.04
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$95.12
Showing 25 of 140 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hawks (-12.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.8
Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$412.22
Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,491Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+32%+$477.57
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+211.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+284.6%+$562.4
Sunderland AFC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+138.1%+$491.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-4.5)backed Wichita State Shockers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$300.35
Spread: VCU Rams (-5.5)backed VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$660
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+69.5%+$287
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+86%+$216.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$322.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.