Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: MOUZ vs 1win - Game 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8743c089e93e64b29cecfb0de56a2b7dffcd80a22ace370c8bc49646ed5177a3

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: 1winof MOUZ, 1win
Resolved: May 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $107,319
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $123,360

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,319 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed 1win	43c	26,147$11,140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,006.18	1,210	57.1%691 W · 519 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed MOUZ	58c	14,326$8,309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,308.91	159	51.6%82 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d4d…8525backed MOUZ	34c	10,326$3,480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,479.99	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-4.5wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked 1win	61c	8,805$5,362 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,443.75	966	45.1%436 W · 530 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked MOUZ	41c	8,568$3,542 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,542.35	1,186	43.2%512 W · 674 L	+42.2wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed 1win	63c	7,183$4,537 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,645.05	400	51.5%206 W · 194 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf991…3965backed MOUZ	40c	6,101$2,456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,456.42	312	48.4%151 W · 161 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked MOUZ	63c	3,400$2,153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,153.23	802	56%449 W · 353 L	+22.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked MOUZ	24c	3,133$749 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$749.29	897	41.5%372 W · 525 L	+22.7wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed MOUZ	55c	2,800$1,540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,539.99	568	52.5%298 W · 270 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e62…f6ffbacked 1win	41c	2,417$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,416.83	106	46.2%49 W · 57 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed 1win	75c	2,202$1,656 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$546.46	510	49%250 W · 260 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked MOUZ	64c	1,450$928 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$928	552	51.6%285 W · 267 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed MOUZ	37c	1,380$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510.41	330	41.8%138 W · 192 L	-9.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbf7…0e79backed MOUZ	59c	1,366$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed MOUZ	65c	1,259$815 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$815.34	965	57.4%554 W · 411 L	+49.5wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x89ff…a8f2backed 1win	45c	1,258$563 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$694.63	44	50%22 W · 22 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948a…d1a4backed 1win	42c	1,186$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$685.91	242	55%133 W · 109 L	+14.3wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed MOUZ	45c	1,069$479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479	962	45.5%438 W · 524 L	+22.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed MOUZ	3c	1,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	213	33.3%71 W · 142 L	+12.3wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	+64.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked MOUZ	50c	994$497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$497	379	45.9%174 W · 205 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed 1win	38c	960$361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$599	885	39.7%351 W · 534 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62a9…3bb6backed MOUZ	64c	878.97$559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$558.67	105	46.7%49 W · 56 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked 1win	62c	861.25$536 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325.47	798	59%471 W · 327 L	+16.1wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked 1win	38c	855.26$325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530.26	421	45.4%191 W · 230 L	-11.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed 1win	38c	791$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$486.78	1,577	43.9%692 W · 885 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x810b…0848backed MOUZ	34c	783.23$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263	131	44.3%58 W · 73 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae4c…dcb9backed MOUZ	62c	722.98$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448.25	285	49.1%140 W · 145 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed MOUZ	57c	708.99$404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$404.31	1,248	44.4%554 W · 694 L	+17.0wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6117…2fafbacked 1win	77c	671.99$521 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.4	173	73.4%127 W · 46 L	+10.4wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed MOUZ	66c	604.05$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.11	542	46.7%253 W · 289 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3440…ba37backed 1win	78c	565$443 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.72	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	69cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed MOUZ	35c	535.71$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.06	59	35.6%21 W · 38 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a4d…7a8fbacked 1win	38c	512.66$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$317.85	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed 1win	50c	504.3$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252.15	446	45.7%204 W · 242 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked 1win	60c	502.53$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202.81	1,280	45%576 W · 704 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked MOUZ	8c	500$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.93	920	56.4%519 W · 401 L	+78.3wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked 1win	39c	499.99$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$304.99	462	40.7%188 W · 274 L	+15.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x356f…639fbacked MOUZ	8c	499.04$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.92	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed 1win	45c	434.4$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.59	388	55.2%214 W · 174 L	+29.8wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed MOUZ	8c	422$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.76	565	48%271 W · 294 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked MOUZ	65c	416.93$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.52	614	56%344 W · 270 L	+13.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked MOUZ	42c	371.19$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.2	531	39.5%210 W · 321 L	-37.2wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed 1win	36c	355.04$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.22	290	42.1%122 W · 168 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d59…bdf3backed MOUZ	41c	354.88$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.88	675	55%371 W · 304 L	+8.2wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59e2…1c55backed MOUZ	24c	333$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.25	475	48%228 W · 247 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7d3…698bbacked MOUZ	61c	325.21$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.99	480	53.1%255 W · 225 L	+25.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x92f5…13e5backed MOUZ	27c	317.46$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.71	131	38.9%51 W · 80 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed MOUZ	7c	307.99$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.94	324	41.7%135 W · 189 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed 1win	62c	306.23$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.05	460	49.8%229 W · 231 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x523b…cd5abacked MOUZ	64c	305.53$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.83	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked 1win	63c	302.16$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.82	998	44.4%443 W · 555 L	+21.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked MOUZ	5c	300$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	44	2.3%1 W · 43 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-89.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x703b…e371backed MOUZ	6c	299.99$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	515	44.9%231 W · 284 L	+40.9wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed MOUZ	33c	279.61$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.77	1,120	36.1%404 W · 716 L	-39.4wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed MOUZ	37c	268.74$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	189	54%102 W · 87 L	+7.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x43dc…86e1backed MOUZ	53c	266.02$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	242	44.6%108 W · 134 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa62b…0f85backed MOUZ	61c	239.34$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146	117	42.7%50 W · 67 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked MOUZ	39c	200$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	793	41.7%331 W · 462 L	-13.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked 1win	67c	199.49$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.8	1,702	41.2%701 W · 1,001 L	-44.0wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed MOUZ	40c	192.19$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.69	691	32.6%225 W · 466 L	-26.8wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed 1win	72c	189.18$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.8	146	52.1%76 W · 70 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x592c…ee32backed 1win	40c	175$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105	75	60%45 W · 30 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a7a…6c9abacked MOUZ	8c	166.14$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.29	176	44.9%79 W · 97 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9120…ae70backed MOUZ	60c	166.05$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.21	210	62.4%131 W · 79 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed MOUZ	62c	160.03$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	480	54%259 W · 221 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed 1win	57c	144.78$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.01	1,013	45.5%461 W · 552 L	-46.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed MOUZ	12c	141.26$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.99	915	53.3%488 W · 427 L	+48.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MOUZ	42c	139$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.38	1,066	57%608 W · 458 L	+52.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e3e…a78abacked 1win	68c	127.94$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.43	412	44.7%184 W · 228 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked MOUZ	54c	126$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.8	62	45.2%28 W · 34 L	-5.2wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a9c…535ebacked 1win	39c	122$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.76	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x968a…3841backed MOUZ	43c	115.65$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.95	209	39.2%82 W · 127 L	-10.8wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1win	52c	108.15$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.96	2,378	47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L	+15.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed MOUZ	37c	106.26$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.31	1,034	16.3%169 W · 865 L	-158.1wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-51%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed 1win	66c	105$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.7	602	51.2%308 W · 294 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd679…9ccfbacked 1win	43c	100$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57	140	58.6%82 W · 58 L	+11.7wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x953e…79ffbacked MOUZ	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.25	280	50%140 W · 140 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed 1win	58c	94$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.67	1,260	49.7%626 W · 634 L	+21.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9851…1320backed MOUZ	41c	93.11$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.89	44	52.3%23 W · 21 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-13%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0738…6392backed MOUZ	61c	89.24$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.44	212	64.2%136 W · 76 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1863…6174backed MOUZ	60c	84$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.16	304	60.2%183 W · 121 L	+10.2wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked MOUZ	62c	70$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.4	582	50.5%294 W · 288 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ	47c	66.18$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.9	2,828	43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L	-39.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed MOUZ	34c	60$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.4	504	44%222 W · 282 L	-7.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked 1win	73c	55.51$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.99	143	43.4%62 W · 81 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked MOUZ	43c	55.07$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.42	430	49.1%211 W · 219 L	+15.8wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb97e…262bbacked 1win	62c	53.83$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.39	526	49.2%259 W · 267 L	+21.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed MOUZ	26c	52.97$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.77	273	57.1%156 W · 117 L	+9.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked MOUZ	23c	52$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.18	683	45.8%313 W · 370 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4f9…32bebacked MOUZ	66c	51.52$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	77	36.4%28 W · 49 L	-11.8wins	-0.15per pick	52cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa42e…59e1backed 1win	42c	50$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29	55	49.1%27 W · 28 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed MOUZ	56c	50$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	1,797	55.8%1,003 W · 794 L	+37.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c67…e838backed MOUZ	37c	48.66$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.91	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8df8…a552backed MOUZ	61c	48.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.82	182	53.3%97 W · 85 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48ba…d81dbacked 1win	73c	47.11$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.56	563	43.9%247 W · 316 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed 1win	35c	45$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.25	641	49.9%320 W · 321 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3c5…f095backed 1win	45c	44.44$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.44	606	60.7%368 W · 238 L	+8.9wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3597…3e48backed 1win	60c	41.67$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.67	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b0b…551fbacked MOUZ	61c	40.98$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.61per pick	61cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: MOUZ vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerthis page
Dota 2: MOUZ vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A1win won
Dota 2: MOUZ vs 1win - Game 2 Winner1win won
Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5)1win won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: MOUZ vs 1win - Game 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event