Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c9aa6de0ea29c69f6b63bc04bc74500afb64eaa6230d778637620d81ac86e88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof MOUZ, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed 1win | 47c | 20,356$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,755.56 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…4ce8backed 1win | 74c | 18,798$13,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,854.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked MOUZ | 26c | 7,037$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.91 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4d…8525backed MOUZ | 32c | 6,681$2,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112.61 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked MOUZ | 58c | 6,500$3,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,769.99 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed MOUZ | 32c | 3,627$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.4 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked MOUZ | 31c | 3,180$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked MOUZ | 38c | 3,041$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.02 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed 1win | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.98 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 30c | 2,045$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.39 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef1…e845backed 1win | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed MOUZ | 28c | 1,939$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543 | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed MOUZ | 30c | 1,794$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked MOUZ | 65c | 1,786$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked MOUZ | 26c | 1,655$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.32 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed MOUZ | 63c | 1,621$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.29 | 135 | 51.9%70 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed MOUZ | 62c | 1,593$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.78 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed MOUZ | 65c | 1,452$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.7 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf7…0e79backed MOUZ | 63c | 1,423$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…de6bbacked MOUZ | 64c | 1,383$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.79 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2437…432abacked 1win | 68c | 1,237$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fb…f9d1backed MOUZ | 4c | 1,223$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 162 | 40.7%66 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked 1win | 38c | 1,151$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.85 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed MOUZ | 35c | 993.33$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.16 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed 1win | 37c | 960$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.4 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…d4a7backed MOUZ | 60c | 860$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8df…4b48backed 1win | 40c | 860$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…5874backed 1win | 59c | 840.92$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.92 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f96…d1b2backed 1win | 74c | 805.27$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 1win | 39c | 758.79$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.31 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked MOUZ | 30c | 750$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed MOUZ | 32c | 700.62$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.02 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf5…8483backed 1win | 72c | 694.53$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.53 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked 1win | 37c | 674.27$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.27 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed MOUZ | 37c | 673.38$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.2 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…20e0backed 1win | 66c | 633.54$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed MOUZ | 61c | 608.92$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.44 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked 1win | 39c | 599.97$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.98 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked MOUZ | 31c | 587.68$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked 1win | 34c | 570.59$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.59 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf52e…54fcbacked MOUZ | 28c | 550.04$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.01 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed MOUZ | 46c | 532.88$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.46 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…9837backed MOUZ | 65c | 531.99$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked MOUZ | 56c | 527.74$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed 1win | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed MOUZ | 30c | 518.71$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked MOUZ | 59c | 499.99$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b9…d529backed MOUZ | 40c | 476.92$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -58%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…6af8backed MOUZ | 65c | 464.46$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ | 59c | 452.1$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.56 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked MOUZ | 36c | 449.39$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.79 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed MOUZ | 35c | 440.98$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.54 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed MOUZ | 28c | 436.88$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.33 | 246 | 36.6%90 W · 156 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd417…327abacked 1win | 35c | 430$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.5 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed MOUZ | 25c | 411.72$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.66 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -4.9wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed 1win | 68c | 410.05$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.22 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ad…4a6bbacked MOUZ | 58c | 408.76$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.9 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 1win | 68c | 400$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked 1win | 37c | 400$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked MOUZ | 51c | 389.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed MOUZ | 18c | 388.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked MOUZ | 37c | 372.54$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.11 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed MOUZ | 36c | 372.27$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.97 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked MOUZ | 48c | 337.22$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.78 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MOUZ | 45c | 320$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.68 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed 1win | 35c | 318.57$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.1 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…9213backed MOUZ | 56c | 302.61$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81be…a441backed MOUZ | 37c | 301$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.45 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked MOUZ | 64c | 300.35$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.22 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked 1win | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 162 | 43.2%70 W · 92 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed MOUZ | 24c | 283.32$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.33 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45da…72febacked MOUZ | 30c | 282.63$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.72 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccd7…f491backed MOUZ | 30c | 278.66$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed 1win | 67c | 268.85$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.63 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -14.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked MOUZ | 28c | 262$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.08 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 1win | 74c | 257.44$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.57 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43c…6003backed 1win | 38c | 257.28$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.61 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4454…a3cfbacked MOUZ | 63c | 257.14$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed MOUZ | 26c | 245$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.88 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ | 25c | 240.78$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.06 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked MOUZ | 60c | 234.72$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3424…8b87backed MOUZ | 64c | 233.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 1win | 69c | 232$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.32 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…3fa8backed MOUZ | 43c | 231.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked MOUZ | 43c | 229.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked MOUZ | 31c | 216.58$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.67 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed MOUZ | 35c | 207.36$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.29 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…c533backed 1win | 60c | 202.03$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.03 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed MOUZ | 18c | 200.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MOUZ | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed MOUZ | 61c | 199.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed 1win | 34c | 199.97$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.98 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked MOUZ | 63c | 199$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.37 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MOUZ | 33c | 194.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.53 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed MOUZ | 32c | 181$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…3053backed 1win | 42c | 179.08$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked MOUZ | 26c | 177$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed 1win | 41c | 175.71$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.67 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.32per pick | 47cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a2…b3cdbacked 1win | 43c | 172.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed 1win | 35c | 167.84$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.1 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Athis page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs 1win - Game 1 Winner1win won
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs 1win - Game 2 Winner1win won
- Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5)1win won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.