Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs 1win - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a76e6f25a1c3f50ccec1968bf8db2f4bb52657c5a95c7a622761898f53c9fae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof MOUZ, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,346
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,346 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked MOUZ | 52c | 27,495$14,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,218.08 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed 1win | 49c | 23,670$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,070.39 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed MOUZ | 50c | 14,710$7,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,371.51 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked 1win | 52c | 11,611$6,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,523 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4d…8525backed MOUZ | 52c | 8,500$4,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,420 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked 1win | 49c | 8,500$4,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,337.24 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked MOUZ | 47c | 6,260$2,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,911.21 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed 1win | 49c | 5,512$2,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,810.98 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed MOUZ | 23c | 5,220$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.45 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked 1win | 48c | 3,711$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.05 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…0a00backed 1win | 51c | 3,021$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.9 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked 1win | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.2 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked 1win | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1d…4c70backed MOUZ | 49c | 2,500$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.05 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed MOUZ | 50c | 2,300$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked MOUZ | 22c | 2,127$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.85 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 18c | 1,952$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.9 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked MOUZ | 54c | 1,856$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked 1win | 55c | 1,805$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.28 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed 1win | 45c | 1,696$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.7 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed MOUZ | 56c | 1,638$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.76 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed MOUZ | 41c | 1,252$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.04 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed MOUZ | 49c | 1,180$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.78 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…f432backed 1win | 55c | 1,170$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.6 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked 1win | 52c | 1,071$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.55 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked 1win | 48c | 1,022$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.82 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed MOUZ | 46c | 940.57$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.6 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…7a8fbacked MOUZ | 54c | 930.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.16 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed 1win | 58c | 888.82$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.82 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked MOUZ | 37c | 781.55$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.64 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed MOUZ | 39c | 754.91$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.88 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed 1win | 57c | 731.91$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.5 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06ad…4a6bbacked MOUZ | 54c | 640.19$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.7 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked 1win | 61c | 609.89$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.66 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked 1win | 76c | 600$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed MOUZ | 47c | 522.75$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.75 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed 1win | 55c | 515$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.75 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed MOUZ | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed MOUZ | 35c | 499.99$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked MOUZ | 15c | 466.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked 1win | 48c | 416.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.84 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed 1win | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked 1win | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed 1win | 52c | 384.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.14 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked 1win | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed MOUZ | 44c | 347.77$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.69 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed MOUZ | 16c | 344.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.28 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed MOUZ | 51c | 333$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.83 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked MOUZ | 40c | 308.37$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.88 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed 1win | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed 1win | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed MOUZ | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed MOUZ | 52c | 288.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…0848backed MOUZ | 20c | 249.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ | 29c | 236.62$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.84 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MOUZ | 6c | 227.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e48…f025backed 1win | 79c | 221.24$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.24 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53d6…c414backed MOUZ | 43c | 219.34$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked MOUZ | 52c | 215.38$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MOUZ | 42c | 211.92$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.39 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked MOUZ | 53c | 209.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccbd…f1b7backed 1win | 46c | 199.97$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2911…2a0dbacked MOUZ | 24c | 198.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…20e0backed 1win | 51c | 197.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed 1win | 53c | 187.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.96 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed 1win | 53c | 187.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.81 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked MOUZ | 42c | 162$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed 1win | 66c | 157$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45b6…70b9backed MOUZ | 47c | 149.41$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 78 | 17.9%14 W · 64 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked 1win | 40c | 142$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.91 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed MOUZ | 22c | 138$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef1…e845backed MOUZ | 51c | 137.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…eef4backed 1win | 76c | 132.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked MOUZ | 52c | 122.69$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed 1win | 40c | 114$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.97 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed MOUZ | 24c | 105.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked 1win | 40c | 104$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed MOUZ | 37c | 103.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…a46bbacked 1win | 53c | 101.43$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf7…0e79backed MOUZ | 20c | 100.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked 1win | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc124…1745backed 1win | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…1271backed MOUZ | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 240 | 26.7%64 W · 176 L | -30.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed 1win | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed MOUZ | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f1…8391backed MOUZ | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed MOUZ | 49c | 91.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed MOUZ | 45c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…6174backed 1win | 58c | 89.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 304 | 60.2%183 W · 121 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed MOUZ | 51c | 85.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed 1win | 37c | 81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed 1win | 42c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked 1win | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4802…c8e1backed MOUZ | 51c | 78.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…eb74backed 1win | 40c | 72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed 1win | 51c | 70.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.69 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed 1win | 40c | 70$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed MOUZ | 36c | 66.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed MOUZ | 17c | 62.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed 1win | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A1win won
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs 1win - Game 1 Winner1win won
- Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5)1win won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.