TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb97e…262b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
554
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Dota2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT52649.2%259 W · 267 L+21.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 526 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.3
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+113%+$130.24
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.28
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$76.16
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Group Dbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$27.6
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$516.28
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$433.63
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winnerbacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+113%+$186.34
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winnerbacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$150.31
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.99
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs MODUS - Game 2 Winnerbacked MODUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back (BO5) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$152.19
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.95
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.37
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$652Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$652.33
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.13
Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$152.69
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,067Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$450.12
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.84
Dota 2: GLYPH vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.64
Dota 2: Enjoy vs Team Bald - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Bald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Amaru Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Amaru Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$437.38
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$914Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+98.5%+$900.83
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$197.62
Showing 25 of 526 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+218.8%+$63.44
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.5
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.3
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.97
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+139.2%+$27.85
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$63.3
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+130.5%+$55.73
Raptors vs. Mavericksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+107%+$134.54
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+33.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,246Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,246.27
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+156.5%+$704.37
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$177.78
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$858Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$858.24
All 4 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+108.4%+$21.69
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.52
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$14.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$51.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.