NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e6bf735fd7bcd256ac5158b2d9c16f3ed8241e686167cebdf65e082ffff615a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $223,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $238,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $223,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cavaliers | 55c | 55,000$30,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,750 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Raptors | 45c | 54,770$24,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,646.53 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers | 54c | 53,744$28,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,800.55 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4852…67c4backed Raptors | 46c | 26,126$12,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,018 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cavaliers | 54c | 20,065$10,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,316.26 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Raptors | 48c | 15,244$7,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,317.11 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Raptors | 46c | 13,875$6,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,382.5 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Cavaliers | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 48c | 9,746$4,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,665.75 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Cavaliers | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Raptors | 45c | 7,301$3,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,285.48 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Raptors | 46c | 5,329$2,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,451.49 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Raptors | 45c | 5,316$2,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,413.59 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Raptors | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Raptors | 51c | 4,093$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.28 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…e463backed Raptors | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Cavaliers | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Cavaliers | 55c | 3,333$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.85 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Raptors | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Raptors | 46c | 2,860$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.82 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cavaliers | 54c | 2,600$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.64 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 76c | 2,218$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.07 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Raptors | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8590…07adbacked Raptors | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Raptors | 7c | 2,139$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.71 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Cavaliers | 52c | 2,052$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.88 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors | 46c | 2,002$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.4 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…b09bbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 1,794$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.5 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Raptors | 46c | 1,710$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.6 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Raptors | 46c | 1,581$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.26 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Raptors | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Cavaliers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.99 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Raptors | 47c | 1,420$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.4 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Cavaliers | 44c | 1,198$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.95 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Raptors | 46c | 1,094$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.31 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Cavaliers | 54c | 1,028$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.78 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfef9…5e27backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,007$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.7 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…c58ebacked Raptors | 46c | 877.6$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8d…95b0backed Raptors | 60c | 833.05$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Raptors | 46c | 813.04$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Raptors | 57c | 650$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.5 | 147 | 27.9%41 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 614.81$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.81 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Cavaliers | 55c | 559.29$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.75 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Raptors | 36c | 519.72$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.65 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Cavaliers | 55c | 504.55$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.05 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Raptors | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Cavaliers | 54c | 492.59$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.59 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 429.41$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.82 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x927a…f706backed Cavaliers | 47c | 421.24$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.28 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb0…34ecbacked Raptors | 46c | 408.7$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Raptors | 50c | 403.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.04 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Raptors | 45c | 399.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Raptors | 45c | 380$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f6…fd2dbacked Raptors | 57c | 360$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Cavaliers | 48c | 349.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.99 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Raptors | 45c | 334.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.34 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Cavaliers | 55c | 320.65$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.36 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaed5…981dbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 301.82$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.82 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Cavaliers | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Raptors | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3721…7e0dbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 296.15$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.15 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Cavaliers | 51c | 287.47$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.86 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Cavaliers | 39c | 250$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Raptors | 12c | 241.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed Cavaliers | 55c | 236.36$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 278 | 47.1%131 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2d…18c6backed Cavaliers | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.27 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Raptors | 47c | 219.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.39 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3424…8b87backed Raptors | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Raptors | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…570cbacked Raptors | 46c | 214.43$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.64 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Raptors | 47c | 212.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…519dbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 210.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.45 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Raptors | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6c6dbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Cavaliers | 54c | 196.3$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Raptors | 46c | 195.65$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 178 | 48.3%86 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Raptors | 46c | 195.24$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.81 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Raptors | 47c | 187.23$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Raptors | 54c | 186.82$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.61 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Cavaliers | 54c | 186$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 348 | 50.9%177 W · 171 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Cavaliers | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…e26abacked Cavaliers | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Cavaliers | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…cd9dbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 177.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.12 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41c5…0b24backed Cavaliers | 45c | 167.13$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.13 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Cavaliers | 53c | 166.49$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.58 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…1455backed Cavaliers | 59c | 164.12$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.33 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed Raptors | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d36…f4cbbacked Raptors | 46c | 156.62$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.05 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Raptors | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b01…dee1backed Raptors | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Raptors | 46c | 147.09$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.66 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed Raptors | 47c | 135$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 295 | 56.6%167 W · 128 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a6…cf4bbacked Cavaliers | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Cavaliers | 54c | 130.96$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.24 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Cavaliers | 53c | 126.42$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.42 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Cavaliers | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Raptors | 60c | 117$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Raptors won
- Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 3.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Ja'Kobe Walter: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 20.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 23.5No won
- RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Raptors vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 102.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 103.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 104.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 200.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 205.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 208.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5Over won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.