NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 205.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f4e1687b6ca3c67b8c25b111a51e7ba692e510446fb8633843f3e7241841a1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 6,281$3,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,153.53 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Under | 50c | 3,627$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825.48 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Under | 50c | 2,834$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.99 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 14c | 2,083$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.45 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…f0dbbacked Under | 66c | 915.35$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Over | 72c | 800$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.25 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Over | 36c | 675.35$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.1 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 47c | 528.35$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.21 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over | 67c | 449.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.24 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 35c | 380$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 274 | 63.5%174 W · 100 L | +34.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 47c | 271.66$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.68 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Under | 49c | 253.8$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.38 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Under | 54c | 250.48$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.26 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…8bb6backed Over | 34c | 250$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 18c | 200.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x473d…caabbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 49c | 196.08$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.08 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…232abacked Over | 47c | 194.45$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.45 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 36c | 182.55$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.17 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 48c | 154.35$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.09 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d17…9054backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f6…b0f2backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 53c | 112.09$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.09 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Over | 57c | 109.94$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…d843backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3048…057fbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55a…75a6backed Over | 80c | 95$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f9…2b7bbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa5…63afbacked Under | 27c | 92.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 40c | 86.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 35c | 85.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 84.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Over | 52c | 84.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…e5acbacked Under | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 200 | 55.5%111 W · 89 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x657e…e62fbacked Over | 46c | 75.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.51 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x130b…0e07backed Over | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…def7backed Over | 53c | 54.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…0fd1backed Under | 50c | 54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0afb…9a96backed Over | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +6.0wins | +0.33per pick | 45cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x72b8…6253backed Over | 46c | 43.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3aab…7259backed Over | 47c | 42.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…6d3bbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551a…b3dcbacked Over | 53c | 38.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de1…8f45backed Over | 68c | 37.69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1e…9095backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…d867backed Over | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 56c | 34.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 51c | 32.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…1480backed Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Over | 66c | 28.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 75 | 72%54 W · 21 L | +11.7wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7817…8812backed Over | 59c | 25.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 66c | 25.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 163 | 69.9%114 W · 49 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Under | 43c | 25.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 130 | 36.2%47 W · 83 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…4f8ebacked Under | 50c | 23.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6114…69dbbacked Under | 66c | 21.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Over | 75c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 52c | 19.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Over | 69c | 19.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 68c | 16.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 205.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Raptors won
- Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 3.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Ja'Kobe Walter: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 20.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 23.5No won
- RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Raptors vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 102.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 103.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 104.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 200.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 208.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5Over won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.