TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0457…4f8e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
197
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Lol, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 58 out of 100; worst Middle East at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT3342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.29
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$3.7
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$13.81
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$8.87
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+203%+$20.31
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)backed Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$7.86
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.5
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$2.66
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$25.72
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.64
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.06
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$11.13
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+136.5%+$15.96
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.79
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)backed Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.51
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)backed Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.06
Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.23
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT3050%15 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$2.82
Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$6.67
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$17.78
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoebacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Little Rock: Fajing Sun vs Jay Dylan Friendbacked Fajing Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$15.65
Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$6.95
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$4.93
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.61
Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$3.89
Roland Garros ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Andrey Rublevbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Roland Garros WTA: Viktorija Golubic vs Alycia Parksbacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Marco Trungellitibacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Roland Garros WTA: Daria Snigur vs Peyton Stearnsbacked Daria Snigur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Chisinau: Lorenzo Giustino vs Luca Nardibacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Roland Garros WTA: Tamara Korpatsch vs Xinyu Wangbacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Chisinau: Elias Ymer vs Genaro Alberto Olivieribacked Elias Ymer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Roland Garros ATP: Federico Cina vs Jesper de Jongbacked Federico Cina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Little Rock: Dane Sweeny vs Enzo Aguiardbacked Dane Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Little Rock: Colton Smith vs Trevor Svajdabacked Trevor Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Little Rock: Aidan Mayo vs Edas Butvilasbacked Edas Butvilas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
Roland Garros WTA: Anhelina Kalinina vs Diane Parrybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+203%+$20.31
Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Roland Garros ATP: Sebastian Baez vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Roland Garros ATP: Cristian Garin vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.71
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2615.4%4 W · 22 L-4.5wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-62%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.63
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.01
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.75
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.92
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.54
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.79
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.82
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.89
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.23
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.28
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.92
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.66
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.34
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$15.17
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$16.64
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+160.9%+$18.5
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+278%+$80.9
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.75
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.29
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.18
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$12.73
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.33
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$15.07
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.11
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+85.4%+$13
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.19
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.05
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 205.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.61
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.66
Spread: Pistons (-11.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.15
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$15.01
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$13.91
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.18
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.54
All 19 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SE Palmeiras vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.13
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$12.23
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Santos FC vs. EC Vitória end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will América de Cali win on 2026-05-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-05-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-05-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-05-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.25
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.19
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.07
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-05-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.29
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.51
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$10.84
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+525%+$52.5
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Iraq vs. Venezuela: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.64
DR Congo vs. Chile: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$27.06
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Portugal vs. Chile: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$22.58
Mexico vs. Australia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-05-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+141%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$7.39
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$21.83
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.5
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.32
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$164.5
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.57
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.39
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
All 8 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-72.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+201%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+92.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+135.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$11.28
Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Libertybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+153.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+153.2%+$33.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Abacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+94%+$35.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)backed Rosenborg BK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$5.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$10.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.