NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf86b14af03d86588e7b66fcbe29000b279a4e7bfa74689a43366a7db7bf69d76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $256,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $265,686
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $256,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Magic | 54c | 58,518$31,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,599.52 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Pistons | 46c | 50,823$23,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,444.6 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pistons | 46c | 37,926$17,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,479.9 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd5…ec9ebacked Magic | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Pistons | 46c | 18,694$8,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,094.72 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Magic | 60c | 16,649$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Magic | 54c | 14,000$7,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,560 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Magic | 54c | 13,000$7,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,020 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Pistons | 44c | 12,272$5,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,814.76 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Magic | 55c | 11,000$6,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,050 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Pistons | 47c | 7,987$3,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,233.37 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Pistons | 47c | 7,875$3,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,173.56 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Pistons | 47c | 7,875$3,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,173.56 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…34a5backed Pistons | 47c | 6,223$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,298.4 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +4.1wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Magic | 54c | 6,022$3,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,226.08 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Magic | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,179.99 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Pistons | 52c | 5,694$2,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,742.35 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Pistons | 50c | 4,174$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,073.44 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Magic | 54c | 4,000$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,154.98 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 45c | 3,984$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.11 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Magic | 48c | 3,438$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.23 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Magic | 53c | 3,066$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.84 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Pistons | 45c | 2,720$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.04 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Pistons | 39c | 2,010$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.2 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4322…eadebacked Magic | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 67cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Magic | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8d…95b0backed Magic | 57c | 1,937$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Magic | 55c | 1,881$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.63 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Magic | 54c | 1,700$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked Magic | 55c | 1,636$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Magic | 53c | 1,474$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.85 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Magic | 51c | 1,276$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.42 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Pistons | 47c | 1,261$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.57 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Pistons | 46c | 1,118$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.79 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Pistons | 51c | 1,039$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.44 | 261 | 31%81 W · 180 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Magic | 55c | 1,027$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 165 | 55.8%92 W · 73 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Magic | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Pistons | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Magic | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Magic | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed Magic | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Pistons | 50c | 885.95$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.58 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 39c | 843.52$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.4 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Pistons | 37c | 800$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Pistons | 47c | 741.47$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.98 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Pistons | 31c | 739.68$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.57 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Magic | 53c | 701.73$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.91 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x473d…caabbacked Magic | 51c | 680.56$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Magic | 42c | 588.67$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.19 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pistons | 44c | 576.1$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.55 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Pistons | 61c | 524.48$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.62 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Magic | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Magic | 54c | 425.93$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…9d24backed Magic | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Magic | 66c | 367.64$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.64 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pistons | 35c | 343.7$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.53 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c99…dfe9backed Pistons | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Magic | 55c | 332.73$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Pistons | 45c | 321.44$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.89 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Magic | 33c | 302.56$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 123 | 24.4%30 W · 93 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…df71backed Magic | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pistons | 46c | 265.83$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.57 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Magic | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Pistons | 37c | 250$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…2a45backed Magic | 55c | 249.25$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa97c…99e8backed Magic | 66c | 240$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pistons | 45c | 227.08$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.89 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Magic | 55c | 212.94$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.1 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Magic | 55c | 207.47$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 228 | 44.7%102 W · 126 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Magic | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Magic | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cd…7db3backed Magic | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Magic | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Pistons | 55c | 179.47$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.19 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed Magic | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Magic | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Magic | 54c | 175.93$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Magic | 57c | 175.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Magic | 54c | 166.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 178 | 48.3%86 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Magic | 54c | 151.85$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…2c98backed Magic | 54c | 149.43$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.69 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…353fbacked Pistons | 46c | 148.07$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…abbbbacked Pistons | 69c | 145$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Magic | 53c | 129.26$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.98 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e3…f54cbacked Magic | 55c | 114.55$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x770a…2b6cbacked Pistons | 47c | 107.72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Pistons | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x018b…0115backed Pistons | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Pistons | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked Magic | 55c | 105.45$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.73 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Pistons | 47c | 103.51$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Magic | 42c | 103$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Magic | 56c | 102$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6c6dbacked Pistons | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Magic | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3b…38dbbacked Magic | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -12.9wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Magic | 41c | 99.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Magic | 31c | 99.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…5487backed Pistons | 45c | 95.77$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.88 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1394…a321backed Pistons | 47c | 95.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.71 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jamal Cain: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Magic vs. PistonsPistons won
- Magic vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Magic vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 191.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 195.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 199.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 202.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 203.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5Over won
- Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-13.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-15.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.