TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Desmond Bane: Points O/U 18.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$729
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$730

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $729 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa995…3d50backed Yes56c309.2$173 inLost-$1735352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No44c278.21$122 inWon+$155.890863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2e5b…292bbacked No52c260.7$135 inWon+$125.271764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a9…e573backed Yes47c150$71 inLost-$70.512347.2%58 W · 65 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x764d…96aebacked Yes50c40$20 inLost-$204341.9%18 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae5…8386backed No53c37.74$20 inWon+$17.742161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+33.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked No44c35.45$16 inWon+$19.826957.2%154 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b1f…4a6bbacked No44c31.7$14 inWon+$17.752737%10 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x70b6…f93fbacked Yes50c25$13 inLost-$12.55137.3%19 W · 32 L-6.7wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-24.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb684…343cbacked No65c15.49$10 inWon+$5.4221056.7%119 W · 91 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.