NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Pistons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa45085acfe935c2646cf1392a16b6153926029680bdd8e5a8c7028490ee468e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Magic, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,401,004
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,293,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,401,004 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,390 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Magic | 0c | 649,326$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.33 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…433fbacked Magic | 21c | 515,873$110,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,127.09 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Pistons | 74c | 399,998$295,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103,999.6 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pistons | 73c | 171,042$124,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,181.41 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…8060backed Magic | 26c | 121,000$31,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,789.98 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de3…a1fabacked Magic | 26c | 114,855$30,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,079.64 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Magic | 26c | 113,604$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Magic | 26c | 100,000$26,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,000.06 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Magic | 0c | 90,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d91…a5fdbacked Pistons | 74c | 73,735$54,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,171.1 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Pistons | 74c | 59,287$43,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,414.62 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pistons | 78c | 55,019$42,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,237.62 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Magic | 27c | 53,873$14,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,785.65 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Magic | 0c | 52,866$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.36 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Magic | 26c | 48,541$12,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,767.72 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef2…79f9backed Magic | 28c | 38,250$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…0634backed Magic | 20c | 37,815$7,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,543.88 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Pistons | 73c | 37,549$27,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,971.37 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Pistons | 74c | 36,882$27,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,589.41 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Magic | 27c | 31,005$8,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,243.58 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pistons | 75c | 30,000$22,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,599.98 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Magic | 14c | 28,983$4,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,057.56 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Pistons | 75c | 28,771$21,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,332.24 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Magic | 0c | 28,719$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.34 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Pistons | 73c | 27,295$20,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,252.69 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Magic | 27c | 25,603$6,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,912.81 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Magic | 3c | 25,394$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.92 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…ae12backed Magic | 22c | 25,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.92 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Pistons | 75c | 22,270$16,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,614.58 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons | 74c | 20,900$15,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,501.1 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b9…ff15backed Pistons | 79c | 20,000$15,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Magic | 25c | 20,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.92 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebae…fb79backed Magic | 3c | 19,308$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Magic | 26c | 18,924$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…93b4backed Magic | 3c | 18,869$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Magic | 0c | 17,994$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.07 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Magic | 25c | 17,150$4,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,287.61 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 74c | 17,092$12,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,506.21 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Pistons | 75c | 16,500$12,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,125 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Magic | 18c | 16,441$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Pistons | 76c | 15,945$12,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,764.34 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Pistons | 73c | 15,269$11,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,062.66 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Magic | 4c | 15,165$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.84 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Pistons | 73c | 15,000$10,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Magic | 13c | 15,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Magic | 27c | 15,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Pistons | 73c | 14,410$10,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,890.62 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Magic | 21c | 14,127$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Magic | 26c | 13,804$3,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,588.92 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…9e49backed Magic | 24c | 13,663$3,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,291 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…7390backed Magic | 21c | 13,356$2,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,776.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Magic | 0c | 13,220$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1a…3ce5backed Pistons | 74c | 13,102$9,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,406.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pistons | 76c | 13,072$9,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,089.11 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eed…64c2backed Pistons | 77c | 13,025$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,025.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…4c4fbacked Magic | 14c | 12,500$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0d…90c0backed Magic | 26c | 12,488$3,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,246.88 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Magic | 1c | 12,324$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.97 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…4a00backed Magic | 6c | 12,114$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.45 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce3…08b1backed Magic | 0c | 12,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Magic | 12c | 12,000$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.87 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b52…568ebacked Magic | 34c | 11,740$3,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,936.51 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Magic | 27c | 11,117$3,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001.59 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Pistons | 75c | 11,036$8,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,758.91 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Magic | 27c | 10,868$2,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,934.46 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…2032backed Magic | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…32dabacked Magic | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a9…4090backed Magic | 13c | 9,870$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf006…bb6cbacked Magic | 1c | 9,545$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Magic | 25c | 9,255$2,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,313.81 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Pistons | 71c | 8,444$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.29 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Magic | 15c | 8,000$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.25 | 143 | 34.3%49 W · 94 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Magic | 2c | 8,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe687…9eebbacked Magic | 29c | 7,746$2,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,246.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Magic | 23c | 7,730$1,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.67 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pistons | 77c | 7,651$5,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.67 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Magic | 16c | 7,506$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.45 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96dd…17febacked Magic | 0c | 7,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Magic | 27c | 7,407$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Magic | 27c | 7,407$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8516…93a0backed Magic | 27c | 7,407$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Magic | 8c | 7,361$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 110 | 34.5%38 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6734…2e18backed Pistons | 75c | 7,333$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.33 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Pistons | 74c | 7,148$5,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.5 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Magic | 8c | 7,028$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551 | 220 | 36.8%81 W · 139 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…c914backed Magic | 14c | 6,969$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.68 | 92 | 20.7%19 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8072…0ef3backed Magic | 3c | 6,875$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.85 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d5…9e7cbacked Magic | 26c | 6,838$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed Magic | 36c | 6,780$2,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c0…f389backed Magic | 0c | 6,360$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf59c…a682backed Magic | 27c | 6,296$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…db47backed Magic | 2c | 6,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…b767backed Magic | 1c | 6,173$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0b…f682backed Magic | 27c | 6,127$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Magic | 26c | 6,100$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Magic | 2c | 6,006$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Pistons | 73c | 6,000$4,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.97 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc741…a270backed Magic | 26c | 5,948$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.53 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7998…0db9backed Magic | 1c | 5,857$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc097…3728backed Magic | 1c | 5,536$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Pistonsthis page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jamal Cain: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Magic vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Magic vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 191.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 195.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 199.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 202.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 203.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5Over won
- Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-13.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-15.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.