NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c0504f75072b4e4f67b3e610a55ab36df031305dcf9e452bad66184bcaf2943
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,097,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,261,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,097,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 459 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Pistons | 50c | 200,000$100,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,000 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d6…be17backed Magic | 50c | 199,471$100,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,000 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Pistons | 50c | 140,087$70,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,043.58 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pistons | 50c | 100,611$50,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,001.22 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Magic | 50c | 92,000$46,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,000 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Magic | 50c | 80,000$40,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,000 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Pistons | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,000 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Pistons | 51c | 45,000$22,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,049.99 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Pistons | 48c | 40,947$19,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,150.47 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Magic | 50c | 37,396$18,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,698.14 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Pistons | 51c | 37,129$18,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,193.32 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked Magic | 50c | 28,877$14,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,324.01 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Magic | 51c | 19,608$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Magic | 50c | 18,947$9,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,473.26 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Magic | 53c | 17,777$9,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,421.81 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1026…1fddbacked Magic | 49c | 16,800$8,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,232 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Magic | 49c | 15,507$7,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,593.32 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pistons | 50c | 15,074$7,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,517.7 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Magic | 50c | 14,634$7,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,317 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Pistons | 51c | 14,562$7,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,135.5 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pistons | 50c | 12,931$6,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,515.21 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Magic | 51c | 10,500$5,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,355 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Magic | 49c | 10,355$5,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,073.95 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Magic | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Magic | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.97 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Pistons | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.92 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Pistons | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.92 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Magic | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac5…cd3dbacked Magic | 50c | 9,084$4,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,542 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Pistons | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Pistons | 50c | 9,000$4,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,509.94 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Pistons | 67c | 8,307$5,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,762.76 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Pistons | 51c | 8,300$4,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,047 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Pistons | 51c | 8,051$4,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,944.95 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Pistons | 50c | 7,500$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Magic | 49c | 7,318$3,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,585.8 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Pistons | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Magic | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Magic | 50c | 6,022$3,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,011 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Magic | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Magic | 50c | 5,649$2,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,824.65 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Pistons | 50c | 5,559$2,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,779.58 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed Magic | 49c | 5,500$2,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,695 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Magic | 50c | 5,322$2,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,643.24 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Magic | 50c | 5,280$2,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,637.51 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39cf…f964backed Magic | 51c | 5,093$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Magic | 49c | 5,048$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.68 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Magic | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Magic | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Magic | 49c | 4,852$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,377.45 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ec…ed41backed Magic | 49c | 4,750$2,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,327.47 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Magic | 49c | 4,641$2,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,273.94 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 50c | 4,351$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.64 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…248bbacked Magic | 50c | 3,940$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Magic | 51c | 3,790$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.92 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Magic | 50c | 3,625$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.5 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Magic | 49c | 3,248$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.18 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Magic | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.92 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Magic | 65c | 3,061$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Magic | 49c | 3,049$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.61 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Magic | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Magic | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…e3bbbacked Magic | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Magic | 51c | 2,940$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4322…eadebacked Magic | 66c | 2,886$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 67cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Magic | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Pistons | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Pistons | 49c | 2,367$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.1 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Magic | 49c | 2,286$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.14 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Magic | 52c | 2,282$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.14 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Magic | 49c | 2,211$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.39 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…ad24backed Pistons | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Magic | 62c | 2,100$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Magic | 51c | 2,030$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.3 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a6…b044backed Magic | 50c | 2,024$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Magic | 49c | 2,000$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.6 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Pistons | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Magic | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4240…7a20backed Pistons | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Magic | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Magic | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Magic | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.99 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Magic | 50c | 1,992$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.21 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Pistons | 51c | 1,929$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.41 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…0d2cbacked Magic | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Pistons | 49c | 1,837$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.9 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…da7fbacked Pistons | 48c | 1,809$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.83 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Magic | 51c | 1,800$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.99 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Magic | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x384c…2f59backed Pistons | 50c | 1,646$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +61%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pistons | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.82 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd988…cbe4backed Pistons | 50c | 1,586$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Pistons | 43c | 1,540$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.8 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…b180backed Pistons | 51c | 1,500$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Pistons | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Magic | 52c | 1,492$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.85 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Magic | 68c | 1,477$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Magic | 50c | 1,420$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cc…0b39backed Magic | 36c | 1,400$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…8a01backed Pistons | 51c | 1,372$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.36 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jamal Cain: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Magic vs. PistonsPistons won
- Magic vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Magic vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 191.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 195.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 199.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 202.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 203.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5Over won
- Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-13.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-15.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.