TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$879
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$778

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $879 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe7cd…7db3backed No53c189.9$100 inLost-$100.018354.2%45 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes45c108$49 inWon+$5962047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes47c90$42 inWon+$47.63,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c1d…4c70backed No50c88$44 inLost-$4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1815…e217backed No55c73.99$41 inLost-$40.68855.7%49 W · 39 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd755…61a1backed Yes26c70$18 inWon+$51.84037.5%15 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb684…343cbacked No62c54.23$34 inLost-$33.7221056.7%119 W · 91 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x764d…96aebacked Yes46c50$23 inWon+$274341.9%18 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes32c47.99$15 inWon+$32.7876054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No47c47.51$22 inLost-$22.3390863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Yes48c38.46$18 inWon+$201,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f9f…2be5backed No52c38.46$20 inLost-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Yes45c38.24$17 inWon+$21.0316550.9%84 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0011…4cbabacked Yes53c37.74$20 inWon+$17.745945.8%27 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c18…79f4backed Yes45c33.33$15 inWon+$18.332751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.