TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 202.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,113
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,220

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,113 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Over49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5501,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under73c3,620$2,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,626.941,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d53…eb1abacked Over47c3,183$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,687.214362.8%27 W · 16 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over20c2,367$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,893.912,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under51c2,019$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.692,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04061638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73f3…0d2cbacked Under51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007054.3%38 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over48c1,803$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.5626131%81 W · 180 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under51c1,733$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.8337355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under53c1,700$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90164651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over47c1,558$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.1866352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over30c1,505$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.91,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Over48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78011757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over32c1,494$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.7630551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ac5…cd3dbacked Under52c1,346$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Under51c1,263$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.2573051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over35c1,239$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.868,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46c4…1563backed Over49c1,224$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.42560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over20c1,050$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84052230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51035049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Under59c1,000$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59510049%49 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Over48c999.99$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52043352.2%226 W · 207 L+19.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under53c966.82$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.56,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over46c922.43$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.0965045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under53c737.33$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.7820744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30635546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Under51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015246.7%71 W · 81 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over41c553.18$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.561,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Under52c502.11$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.095343.4%23 W · 30 L-5.6wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb27…b180backed Under53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26511153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over49c460$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.662051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde6…764bbacked Over48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6744052.5%231 W · 209 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under51c376.89$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.421,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Under69c352.11$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.9621574.4%160 W · 55 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under51c322.24$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.91,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under53c314.75$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.594,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over45c303.19$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.752,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd679…91a0backed Over47c299.06$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.51747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6495…6cd7backed Over51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.125257.7%30 W · 22 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under53c278.52$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.3289850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cbc…1d39backed Under52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13011850.8%60 W · 58 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Over47c245.51$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.128354.2%45 W · 38 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Under53c222$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.6617740.1%71 W · 106 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ce8…fc49backed Over35c214.29$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.291741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over33c214.02$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.028641.9%36 W · 50 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked Under51c204.19$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.145736.8%21 W · 36 L-7.6wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-35.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x50f2…a5b1backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.08475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Under52c190$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.87451.4%38 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc10d…e679backed Under53c165.04$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.471952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+35.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb076…2f98backed Under52c161$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.722955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f08…d224backed Under52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783125.8%8 W · 23 L-6.8wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-46.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8511261.6%69 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under53c137.98$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.753,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under63c132.3$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.183,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under52c132.17$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.732,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over42c122.88$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.2844347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over48c114.19$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.388354.2%45 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c114$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Over47c110$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.37751.9%40 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa139…f574backed Over47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.383847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9134…a4e5backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.041471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.27per pick44cpaid+85.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5159650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5229346.4%136 W · 157 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Over38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014844.6%66 W · 82 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Under65c90.26$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6725657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfeaf…5e01backed Under58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c85.85$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.924,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under69c84.06$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7323741.4%98 W · 139 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over34c75.05$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2668838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over25c69.77$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1259255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over48c66.08$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3623445.7%107 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6924…1455backed Under67c65.06$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.595259.6%31 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed Under58c63.74$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3731748.9%155 W · 162 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Over49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.223545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.871752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5081…e5acbacked Over46c53.91$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9120055.5%111 W · 89 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over47c43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7962049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over40c41.45$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8749247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf09d…d23fbacked Over55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1810651.9%55 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4d5…a8dabacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2014144.7%63 W · 78 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Over46c38.48$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7822453.1%119 W · 105 L+29.4wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x456a…6a90backed Under51c32.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.653467.6%23 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over52c31.55$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1469848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under51c30.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.351,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over48c29.24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.221149.3%104 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60a5…f52ebacked Under53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522453.1%119 W · 105 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed Over41c27.29$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2114153.9%76 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1560250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under54c23.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9562047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Under64c20.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0615663.5%99 W · 57 L+10.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x661a…ddc7backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104156.1%23 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb684…343cbacked Under52c19.42$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.121056.7%119 W · 91 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Under65c16.15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.517651.7%91 W · 85 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.