TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 28.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,701
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,219

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,701 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe7fa…44e5backed Yes58c1,719$1,000 inWon+$719.21428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No42c1,200$504 inLost-$503.9950346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No41c851.28$351 inLost-$351.341,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No41c318.93$131 inLost-$130.7679650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc04…1c43backed Yes60c310$186 inWon+$12410548.6%51 W · 54 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Yes54c217.39$117 inWon+$10015246.7%71 W · 81 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7cd…7db3backed No46c217.39$100 inLost-$1008354.2%45 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed No44c132.06$58 inLost-$57.9776247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1a9…e2dbbacked Yes58c119.22$69 inWon+$50.222263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ea1…6072backed Yes56c99.99$56 inWon+$43.9924566.9%164 W · 81 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a2d…5d6cbacked Yes58c86.62$50 inWon+$36.62560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df2…d357backed Yes58c77.59$45 inWon+$32.597659.2%45 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed No44c59.32$26 inLost-$26.149247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3066…98d9backed Yes56c44.41$25 inWon+$19.545251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8106…bd36backed Yes58c43.1$25 inWon+$18.12352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked No43c37.02$16 inLost-$15.7726957.2%154 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58a6…b9debacked Yes56c35.71$20 inWon+$15.712343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aeb…42d4backed Yes59c30.51$18 inWon+$12.5127539.6%109 W · 166 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No43c30$13 inLost-$12.933556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x30cf…16e7backed Yes58c20.57$12 inWon+$8.71020%2 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-66%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.