NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 203.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1788659ddf19afac6b961d89b25e47d474ff04b546c8b9d690d170bbab4e0770
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $339,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $433,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $339,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x959a…7b64backed Over | 43c | 86,309$36,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,460.43 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 39,797$22,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,855.4 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 59c | 27,347$16,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,030.01 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 47c | 15,564$7,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,248.92 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 54c | 13,647$7,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,433.69 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Under | 56c | 9,128$5,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,115.18 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 39c | 8,092$3,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,957.1 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 28c | 6,666$1,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,795.47 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under | 55c | 6,051$3,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,328.09 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…ff91backed Over | 47c | 5,640$2,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,976.5 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 44c | 5,499$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,079.66 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 5,000$2,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720.9 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 58c | 4,378$2,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,542.64 | 274 | 63.5%174 W · 100 L | +34.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Under | 54c | 4,351$2,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.39 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 62c | 4,270$2,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,663.36 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Over | 47c | 4,257$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,257.25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 28c | 4,071$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.53 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Under | 55c | 3,999$2,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 69c | 3,721$2,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550.67 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 64c | 3,110$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.56 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Under | 59c | 2,967$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Under | 72c | 2,793$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017.7 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Under | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…485bbacked Over | 15c | 2,253$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,907.8 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0347…7e7abacked Over | 46c | 2,200$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…6a99backed Over | 45c | 1,751$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.11 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 33c | 1,683$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.22 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 71c | 1,563$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.41 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked Under | 53c | 1,521$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.37 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 55c | 1,293$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.18 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 39c | 1,246$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.14 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 43c | 1,197$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.68 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 55c | 1,181$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.55 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Over | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 54c | 1,034$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.79 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 54c | 1,018$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.89 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Over | 17c | 1,014$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.33 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…b180backed Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Over | 46c | 1,000$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 42c | 930.93$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.38 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8c…85fbbacked Under | 55c | 905.22$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Under | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e1…5916backed Over | 63c | 777.05$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 58c | 706.46$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.51 | 275 | 53.5%147 W · 128 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Under | 54c | 655.81$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.14 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 53c | 649.3$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.21 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 44c | 645.66$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.68 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…5130backed Over | 63c | 625.84$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.26 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 55c | 599.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 52c | 591.43$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.91 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Under | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57f9…bcd9backed Under | 54c | 553.52$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Under | 55c | 538.85$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 43c | 528.44$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.3 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 31c | 515.91$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.02 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 17c | 510.36$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.6 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Under | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Under | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 45c | 460$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Under | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 185 | 52.4%97 W · 88 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…7972backed Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…b331backed Under | 52c | 412.63$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.57 | 398 | 64.3%256 W · 142 L | +33.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 53c | 374.52$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.5 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Over | 32c | 351.98$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.98 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 52c | 343.3$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.52 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942d…896cbacked Under | 60c | 312$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69c1…da5fbacked Under | 65c | 302.6$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Under | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Under | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Under | 54c | 299.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 31c | 293.39$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.38 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 54c | 280.97$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.72 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Under | 53c | 277.36$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Under | 56c | 271.57$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.48 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c94…f9f4backed Under | 58c | 243.2$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.89 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -9.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 32c | 229.19$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.85 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…884abacked Under | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 258 | 50%129 W · 129 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Under | 57c | 207.09$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.04 | 185 | 57.3%106 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Over | 46c | 200$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 293 | 46.4%136 W · 157 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 53c | 192.68$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 49c | 185.51$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32f9…9725backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd48…e421backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 302 | 42.1%127 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Under | 54c | 181.48$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 178 | 48.3%86 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…e26abacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 42c | 167$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.86 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under | 54c | 166.22$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.76 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Over | 45c | 154.77$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.98 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6808…899bbacked Under | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 47c | 150$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.25 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 41c | 148.62$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.38 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 52c | 144.24$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 16c | 133.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.77 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 53c | 130$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 367 | 49.6%182 W · 185 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 203.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jamal Cain: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Magic vs. PistonsPistons won
- Magic vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Magic vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 191.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 195.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 199.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 202.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5Over won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5Over won
- Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-13.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-15.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.