TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,853
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,295

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,853 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Pistons43c5,349$2,278 inWon+$3,071.0169848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Magic27c2,994$812 inLost-$811.7289444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Pistons72c2,766$2,000 inWon+$766.0443269.2%299 W · 133 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Magic54c2,714$1,473 inLost-$1,472.7934255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Magic57c1,742$993 inLost-$9935158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Magic58c553.42$321 inLost-$320.981,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Magic57c504.91$288 inLost-$287.815649.4%77 W · 79 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4240…7a20backed Pistons51c348.69$178 inWon+$170.861844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Pistons75c324.67$244 inWon+$81.1721574.4%160 W · 55 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x356f…639fbacked Magic55c260.99$144 inLost-$144.131915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick17cpaid+141.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Pistons77c258.44$199 inWon+$59.446250%31 W · 31 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Magic53c249.67$132 inLost-$131.7289850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pistons64c201.85$130 inWon+$71.998,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95c8…3469backed Magic37c189.86$70 inLost-$707534.7%26 W · 49 L-8.8wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Magic57c139.76$80 inLost-$79.5627553.5%147 W · 128 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Pistons70c105$73 inWon+$31.752,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d17…9054backed Magic30c100$30 inLost-$30955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3048…057fbacked Pistons48c94.27$45 inWon+$49.2711850.8%60 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Pistons42c83.33$35 inWon+$48.339949.5%49 W · 50 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Pistons42c83.33$35 inWon+$48.339748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Magic25c80$20 inLost-$204151.2%21 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x31c8…9487backed Magic39c61.85$24 inLost-$23.936277.4%48 W · 14 L+13.1wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+36.3%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x1d08…6e9bbacked Pistons42c47.62$20 inWon+$27.621172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+42.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Pistons44c32.83$14 inWon+$18.5219445.9%89 W · 105 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Magic33c30.31$10 inLost-$101,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x0457…4f8ebacked Pistons47c26.24$12 inWon+$13.911942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f97…6aafbacked Magic57c20.68$12 inLost-$11.795151%26 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84bb…25d3backed Magic60c19.92$12 inLost-$11.952737%10 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.