TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-11.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,023
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,241

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,023 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e6e…be00backed Pistons51c9,567$4,879 inWon+$4,687.7845850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Magic49c6,515$3,200 inLost-$3,20042348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Magic49c1,200$588 inLost-$58833945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x78bf…6df9backed Magic49c1,020$500 inLost-$5006261.3%38 W · 24 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8590…07adbacked Magic48c999.99$480 inLost-$4805945.8%27 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e33…73e7backed Magic49c960.22$471 inLost-$470.51922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-56.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x69cc…2e44backed Pistons52c955.75$497 inWon+$458.25955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Pistons49c389.19$191 inWon+$198.4969848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Magic53c259.1$137 inLost-$136.8222349.8%111 W · 112 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d17…9054backed Magic49c200$98 inLost-$98955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Pistons47c159.63$75 inWon+$84.630551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d1d…d8c0backed Pistons52c95.15$49 inWon+$45.675139.2%20 W · 31 L-7.4wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Pistons47c74.47$35 inWon+$39.479748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x310b…19ccbacked Magic54c74.07$40 inLost-$4010045%45 W · 55 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Pistons46c74.07$34 inWon+$4076653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Magic49c60.93$30 inLost-$29.8685248.9%417 W · 435 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3322…7dc2backed Magic41c48.77$20 inLost-$205343.4%23 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Pistons58c43.18$25 inWon+$18.185364.2%34 W · 19 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Pistons61c40.98$25 inWon+$15.9818242.9%78 W · 104 L-10.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Magic51c40$20 inLost-$20.44339.5%17 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-34.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Pistons59c38.64$23 inWon+$15.8421849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Pistons53c32.82$18 inWon+$15.321,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0457…4f8ebacked Magic51c23.83$12 inLost-$12.151942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.