TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$446,163
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$454,590

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $446,163 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over51c120,000$61,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,799.9915545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Under49c115,189$56,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,442.419754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c63,950$31,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,721.134,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…f402backed Over51c60,000$30,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,399.921776.5%13 W · 4 L+4.6wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+59.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Under48c48,751$23,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,437.237627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Over50c40,000$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,00043148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4852…67c4backed Over52c28,080$14,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,565.275655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over49c23,463$11,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,912.4469848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Under51c16,667$8,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,50016846.4%78 W · 90 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under51c15,719$7,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,949.511,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under49c12,055$5,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,906.6964948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under50c11,754$5,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,877.11,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00090650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Over52c9,615$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,615.389945.5%45 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Over50c9,004$4,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5024456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Over52c8,400$4,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,07212056.7%68 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under49c8,186$4,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,010.991,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Over51c8,035$4,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,937.1412450.8%63 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe21e…f216backed Under49c7,000$3,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,43012058.3%70 W · 50 L+11.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over52c5,500$2,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6401,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over44c5,463$2,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,036.038,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Under49c5,300$2,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5973951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over28c5,127$1,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,692.722,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Over52c5,065$2,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,432.5517553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5001,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under66c4,485$2,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,960.851,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0005347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under49c3,553$1,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,741.0319650.5%99 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Under49c3,553$1,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,741.036152.5%32 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Over37c3,495$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200.513544.4%60 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over50c2,715$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.5365045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc452…7234backed Under75c2,667$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under49c2,330$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.582,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c2,300$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.271,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x456a…6a90backed Under49c2,030$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.873467.6%23 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under44c2,007$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.0761638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over54c2,005$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.5530551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc174…b757backed Over52c1,896$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.252157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+24.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75050346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a26…4976backed Under50c1,470$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7351540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under48c1,455$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.041,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bef…485bbacked Over25c1,453$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.252236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under50c1,271$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.5832450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Over51c1,169$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.558744.8%39 W · 48 L-8.7wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-17.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe757…c161backed Under50c1,117$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.666238.7%24 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under49c1,111$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.5745251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50041753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75a3…8275backed Under75c1,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over24c997.5$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.3552230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72f3…92d6backed Over51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.393855.3%21 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Over52c921$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.0847856.5%270 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under50c911$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.536852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8001…c76fbacked Under50c865$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.59046.7%42 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ada…d690backed Under50c852$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4262454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over38c849.29$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.342,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over50c709.42$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.294,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under49c697.02$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.1466352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over34c670.79$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.798641.9%36 W · 50 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Over52c653.84$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.8422948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c635.44$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.012,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29435546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Over51c590.75$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.4740541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27b8…043fbacked Over33c569.74$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.889861.2%60 W · 38 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over52c547.39$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.7592058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under50c529.97$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.333,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over40c527.77$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.6646959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xad7c…6244backed Over20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4003444.1%15 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x473d…caabbacked Over47c497.39$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.194742.6%20 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over52c480.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.7728949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under49c449.97$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.4956043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over50c433.08$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.591,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb3…8129backed Over51c429.41$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.41966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under60c415$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.272,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021354%115 W · 98 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d22…403ebacked Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ac…b73dbacked Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010052%52 W · 48 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cbb…5503backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009653.1%51 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under57c399.99$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22811242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under46c391$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.5268838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7630…bf84backed Over52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.621747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Under63c384.61$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.321574.4%160 W · 55 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d17…9054backed Over41c372.95$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.82955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under48c364.58$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e83…b22fbacked Under50c362.62$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.043145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfbde…a758backed Over50c360$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1802254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Under50c348.86$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.4322349.8%111 W · 112 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5354…33e5backed Over47c347.68$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.272100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+110.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over28c336.58$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.811,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over39c332.47$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.3993148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c6e…271bbacked Under50c314.66$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.3315352.3%80 W · 73 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcdd…6d55backed Under50c310.98$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.4923650.8%120 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under74c308.91$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.173,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over50c306$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1538952.8%47 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea60…e977backed Over52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1449159.3%54 W · 37 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under51c292.8$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4489850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Over52c275$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1328556.5%48 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24e4…0478backed Over51c266.67$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.678850%44 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c2…eef4backed Over50c249.8$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.047936.7%29 W · 50 L-9.5wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-33.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Under48c230.06$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.7916642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa7f1…d867backed Over42c211.15$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.584045%18 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.