TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3066…98d9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
105
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NHL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 57 out of 100; worst UFC at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT5251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$689Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$388.03
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.9
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$505Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$150.84
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.75
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 201.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$447Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$173.96
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$199
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.9
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$55.5
Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$9.78
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 27.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.32
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 8.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.92
Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+79%+$15.73
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$91.68
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.9
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.33
LeBron James: Points O/U 20.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.71
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.92
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.8
Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 2.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.92
Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 15.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+105.6%+$21.02
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 31.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.92
Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.92
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 29.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.92
Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.27
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT2556%14 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$636Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+80.6%+$512.04
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Auger-Aliassime vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$689Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$382.98
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Shnaider (+1.5)backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$543Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$542.79
Mensik vs. Fonseca: Match O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$666Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$665.84
Mensik vs. Fonseca: Match O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.15
Jodar vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$659.77
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,067Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$266.81
Mensik vs. Rublev: Match O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$81.62
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$50.09
Faria vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$133.33
Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$544Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$544.12
Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$113.45
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Camila Osoriobacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15.86
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+72.3%+$71.1
Casper Ruud vs. Tommy Paul: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$89.79
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.82
Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Burruchagabacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Roland Garros WTA: Donna Vekic vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$9.22
Madrid Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.93
All 25 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perrybacked Perry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.9
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Daniel Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.9
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Malcolm Wellmaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.9
UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Jacqueline Cavalcanti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.9
UFC Fight Night: Cody Brundage vs. Andre Petroski (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Andre Petroski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.9
UFC Fight Night: Tommy Gantt vs. Artur Minev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Tommy Gantt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.44
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Joaquin Buckley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.87
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.97
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Khamzat Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)backed King Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.97
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.68
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Yaroslav Amosov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.19
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+150%+$29.85
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Grant Dawson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.83
UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Marco Tulio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.95
UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed Pat Sabatini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.13
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+58.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.9
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.95
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+144.3%+$40.81
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$62.13
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.79
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.54
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+95.2%+$80.08
All 7 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$79.19
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$38.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$553Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$553.39
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$66.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monaco vs. Olympiacos B.C.backed Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$24.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.