Tennis · resolved market
Mensik vs. Rublev: Match O/U 38.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebc55e2a434b577402d805490282602fbc15928e7dcdd8290adea63654634d81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 42c | 4,486$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,883.18 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 58c | 4,316$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.76 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Over | 65c | 2,782$1,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.46 | 1,277 | 56.6%723 W · 554 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Over | 53c | 1,420$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 47c | 1,392$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.25 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 44c | 1,195$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.8 | 1,047 | 50%524 W · 523 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 43c | 1,130$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.24 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 43c | 994.78$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.76 | 428 | 41.6%178 W · 250 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 44c | 636.48$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.41 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Over | 55c | 611$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.68 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over | 57c | 522.69$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.69 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Over | 53c | 499.97$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.99 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under | 45c | 449.5$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.31 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Under | 25c | 440$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 174 | 36.8%64 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Over | 56c | 426.58$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.66 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over | 58c | 423.72$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.32 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Under | 43c | 405.98$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.57 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 1,102 | 52.2%575 W · 527 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Under | 46c | 368.35$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.44 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +181.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8969…2cabbacked Over | 56c | 366.22$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.22 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Over | 57c | 261.4$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.4 | 589 | 31.1%183 W · 406 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 16c | 241.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Under | 47c | 219$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.93 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Under | 27c | 206$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 482 | 35.9%173 W · 309 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 45c | 202.47$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.11 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2af…e3bcbacked Over | 56c | 180$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.95 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed Over | 58c | 173.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.27 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc78d…0bbdbacked Under | 43c | 142.85$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.42 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…950dbacked Over | 55c | 126.96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.96 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc88f…987abacked Under | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 45c | 95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 692 | 44.4%307 W · 385 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…98d9backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Under | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 819 | 56.9%466 W · 353 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba0…1803backed Over | 58c | 85.29$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 42c | 84.81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 270 | 48.9%132 W · 138 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2108…ce01backed Under | 48c | 82.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.34per pick | 52cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 42c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c93…bb33backed Over | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Under | 45c | 75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2712…eb71backed Under | 14c | 70$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +123.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Under | 16c | 69.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 176 | 17%30 W · 146 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 43c | 67.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Under | 31c | 64.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 602 | 41.2%248 W · 354 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 56c | 60.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 173 | 58.4%101 W · 72 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,542 | 49.2%759 W · 783 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Under | 46c | 54.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 659 | 42.2%278 W · 381 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…2f81backed Over | 57c | 47.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 318 | 49.7%158 W · 160 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5a…f31dbacked Over | 58c | 42.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8179…5c4dbacked Under | 47c | 40.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Under | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 58c | 34.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 130 | 57.7%75 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 53c | 32.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a5…80d4backed Over | 55c | 30.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 318 | 53.5%170 W · 148 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450a…0712backed Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 42c | 27.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58c…4fc0backed Over | 56c | 26.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f02…823dbacked Over | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 70c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mensik vs. Rublev: Match O/U 38.5this page
- Jakub Mensik vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Jakub Mensik vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 4.5Over 4.5 won
- Mensik vs. Rublev: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Mensik vs. Rublev: Match O/U 40.5Over won
- Mensik vs. Rublev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Roland Garros ATP: Completed Match: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey RublevYes won
- Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey RublevJakub Mensik won
- Set 1 Winner: Mensik vs RublevMensik won
- Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Mensik (+1.5)Mensik won
- Set Handicap: Rublev (-2.5) vs Mensik (+2.5)Mensik won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.