TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x36b4…d723

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
435
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Mls, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT19146.6%89 W · 102 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 191 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderibacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatekbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$575.99
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Mathys Erhard vs Joel Schwaerzlerbacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$369.68
Set Handicap: Osaka (-1.5) vs Mertens (+1.5)backed Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$164.04
Set 1 Winner: Jovic vs Korneevabacked Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Joel Schwaerzler vs Ilya Ivashkabacked Ilya Ivashka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.53
Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Vendula Valdmannovabacked Vendula Valdmannova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.7
Warsaw: Elizara Yaneva vs Gabriela Knutsonbacked Gabriela Knutson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$580
Liberec: Franco Roncadelli vs Norbert Gombosbacked Franco Roncadelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.99
Set 1 Winner: Minaur vs Tsitsipasbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+88.5%+$352.4
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Martin Damm vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$106.2
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$231.75
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$619Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$174.66
Set 2 Winner: Hanfmann vs Halysbacked Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Hamburg European Open: Anna Bondar vs Alina Charaevabacked Alina Charaeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
ITF Denia: Pavel Lagutin vs Lorenzo Angelinibacked Lorenzo Angelini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Winnipeg: August Holmgren vs Liam Draxlbacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Winnipeg: Johannus Monday vs Yuta Shimizubacked Johannus Monday · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$384
Bloomfield Hills: J.J. Wolf vs Coleman Wongbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$311.43
Set 1 Winner: Wolf vs Wongbacked Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$495
Bloomfield Hills: Roger Pascual vs Andres Martinbacked Roger Pascual · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$424
Set 1 Winner: Bublik vs Molcanbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$689Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$519.98
Generali Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.99
Showing 25 of 191 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10133.7%34 W · 67 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$985Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$985
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.24
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Morocco leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$730
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$224
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$580
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$273
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$210
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$258
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
Portugal leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Egypt leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Belgium leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$244.2
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$288
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$270
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT4425%11 W · 33 L-7.2wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-45.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
Premier League — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.5
Liverpool FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Sunderland AFC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$152
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$141
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$108
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Arsenal FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$87
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.33
Liverpool FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.99
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$159
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$108
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$339.98
Arsenal FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$417.07
Manchester City FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.59
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Liverpool FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.93
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT3831.6%12 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$539.99
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.11
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Club Atlético de Madrid leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$58.99
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$270
Real Sociedad de Fútbol leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$304
Valencia CF leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$113
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)backed Villarreal CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Villarreal CF leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.67
Will CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)backed Real Betis Balompié · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$331.16
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
RC Celta de Vigo leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.19
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.43
Athletic Club leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.98
Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$136
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-53.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Chess — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.3
Will Anish Giri vs. Javokhir Sindarov end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.52
Will Hikaru Nakamura win on 2026-04-14 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Javokhir Sindarov win on 2026-04-12 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.58
Will Fabiano Caruana win on 2026-04-11 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.1
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Javokhir Sindarov win on 2026-04-09 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Will Anish Giri win on 2026-04-09 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Fabiano Caruana win on 2026-04-08 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.56
Will Javokhir Sindarov win on 2026-04-08 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.78
Will Fabiano Caruana win on 2026-04-07 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.87
Will Fabiano Caruana win on 2026-04-05 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.61
Will Hikaru Nakamura win on 2026-04-04 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Fabiano Caruana win on 2026-04-03 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$216.76
Will Hikaru Nakamura win on 2026-04-03 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.36
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-3.9wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$814Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$814
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.71
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$354
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
FC Bayern München leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.37
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.98
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
All 10 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+39.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-68.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-48.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$377.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,887Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,886.53
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.