Premier League · resolved market
Arsenal FC leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc72c4f4837c0700e83ccbbacd9dbc2b868a865bfcd8eba28b33d8498bfdade9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,250
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,250 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 2,393$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.41 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Yes | 44c | 1,100$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed No | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.91 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 40c | 700$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 53c | 657.73$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.29 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9e…2e40backed Yes | 46c | 478.52$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5052…6c4abacked Yes | 46c | 432.4$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 43c | 399.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…19bdbacked Yes | 47c | 329.52$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.87 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Yes | 45c | 320$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -7.2wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 21c | 319$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.18 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 24c | 201.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…17bdbacked Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 101 | 25.7%26 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 75c | 173.38$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 54c | 151.63$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.45 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee8…07c4backed Yes | 46c | 119.57$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Yes | 49c | 114.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4497…d5a3backed Yes | 48c | 112.3$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked No | 55c | 101.82$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c6…3a8fbacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 45c | 94.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9c…8824backed No | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 47c | 74.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c59…0c2cbacked No | 55c | 73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 46c | 72.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes | 51c | 62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Yes | 50c | 60.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…8184backed Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…40f7backed No | 54c | 55.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116e…43bbbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 55c | 49.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0287…a0c2backed Yes | 43c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…377bbacked Yes | 47c | 42.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1d…43debacked No | 52c | 38.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96fb…3b61backed Yes | 48c | 38.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 39c | 38.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecda…6f0abacked No | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e16cbacked Yes | 46c | 32.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 53c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked No | 55c | 29.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 32 | 81.3%26 W · 6 L | +6.7wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 53c | 28.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 46c | 24.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 54c | 22.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 52c | 19.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal FC leading at halftime?this page
- West Ham United FC leading at halftime?No won
- West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.