TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7c59…0c2c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
165
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Commodities at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT9759.8%58 W · 39 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 97 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.32
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$27.5
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$31.5
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$20.24
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.86
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.16
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.91
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.28
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.15
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.56
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9.36
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.22
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.94
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$7.74
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.02
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.6
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.43
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$90.43
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$59.34
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.61
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.88
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$4.43
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$35.56
Showing 25 of 97 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$12.76
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$234.19
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$4,183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,183.41
Bruins vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+82.8%+$8.83
Predators vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$70.57
Panthers vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$158.49
Maple Leafs vs. Wildbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+62%+$181.03
Ducks vs. Canadiensbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+77.8%+$96.13
Sharks vs. Senatorsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.85
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.72
Blackhawks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$745Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$744.73
Kraken vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.89
Blues vs. Blackhawksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Blue Jackets vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+31.6%+$72
Wild vs. Ducksbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+34.9%+$38.33
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$34.74
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.4
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$68.94
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.25
Japan leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+113.1%+$241.73
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-30.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.1
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$99.54
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$101.29
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.89
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. New York Metsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$24.44
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.44
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.95
All 8 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-62.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$130
Clippers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$710
Kings vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+25%+$40
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+42.9%+$150
Nuggets vs. Raptorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$9,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$6,000
All 5 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-71%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Stocks — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politicslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$599.99
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$210
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$14.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hong Kong have between 220-230mm of precipitation in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.