TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sharks vs. Senators

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Senatorsof Sharks, Senators
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,524,117

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,524,117 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9976…67dabacked Sharks37c398,808$146,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146,782.5919848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Senators64c229,893$145,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83,900.1151550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Sharks36c92,827$33,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,241.348545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf195…8057backed Sharks36c89,284$32,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,142.245352.8%28 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+26.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Senators64c81,178$51,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,224.0740351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Senators63c60,144$37,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,253.1126849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Senators63c51,024$32,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,878.941,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Sharks35c44,386$15,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,535.0167051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Senators62c27,908$17,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,587.3527448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Senators63c26,984$17,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,984.1324349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Senators64c24,808$16,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,807.6540356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Senators64c22,326$14,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,037.3618641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Senators63c18,970$11,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,018.948549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Senators62c15,683$9,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,912.872,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Senators63c14,610$9,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,405.7947951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Sharks37c13,514$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00032151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc81f…16f1backed Sharks0c12,580$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.583946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Senators66c11,818$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,018.1824749.8%123 W · 124 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Senators64c11,756$7,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,232.2836748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Senators47c10,123$4,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,337.9212838.3%49 W · 79 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Senators64c9,417$5,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,419.991,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebbb…4214backed Sharks33c8,027$2,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,66112835.9%46 W · 82 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Sharks36c7,883$2,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,837.9161950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Sharks34c7,174$2,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,435.0714837.2%55 W · 93 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Senators63c7,079$4,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,652.51,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab5b…316cbacked Senators60c6,786$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,686.37650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Sharks52c6,749$3,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,509.341,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4738…df78backed Sharks53c6,299$3,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,338.885735.1%20 W · 37 L-13.5wins-0.24per pick59cpaid-40.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x3819…acd7backed Sharks35c6,200$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,17010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Senators63c5,466$3,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,022.431,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Senators50c5,253$2,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,609.3558467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed Sharks0c5,177$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9750%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Senators64c5,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80010145.5%46 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Senators64c5,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Senators63c4,762$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,761.9452050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Sharks35c4,573$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,604.5736648.6%178 W · 188 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Senators64c4,000$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Sharks32c3,969$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.6358841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Senators65c3,949$2,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.781,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Senators46c3,456$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,856.2575251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Senators64c3,333$2,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.8891945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc53f…3339backed Senators65c3,300$2,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Senators65c3,077$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.9231550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Senators63c3,033$1,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.152,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Senators64c3,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08060249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Senators63c2,905$1,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.3389636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e0f…72cfbacked Senators65c2,900$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.97250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Sharks7c2,876$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.384912.2%6 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Senators57c2,665$1,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.611,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Sharks37c2,579$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.5830259.6%180 W · 122 L+31.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Senators65c2,500$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8752245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Senators64c2,500$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9001,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Sharks38c2,278$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.533,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Senators54c2,258$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.315547.3%26 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Senators60c2,238$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.642,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Sharks53c2,100$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1133354.5%18 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Senators64c2,019$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.0586549.1%425 W · 440 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Senators66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68019051.1%97 W · 93 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011e…9218backed Senators66c1,995$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.3742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x289a…9645backed Senators66c1,995$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.31353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06cb…ee90backed Senators66c1,995$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.31172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+40.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7bc1…a036backed Senators66c1,995$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.31163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ea5…1d92backed Sharks34c1,995$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.3742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa540…8e6cbacked Sharks34c1,995$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.3850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2275…2755backed Sharks34c1,995$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.31040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53e3…2307backed Sharks34c1,995$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.31154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a57…ca73backed Senators66c1,995$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.31060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc537…42c8backed Sharks34c1,995$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.31154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa225…7728backed Sharks34c1,990$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.6944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x354f…255abacked Sharks34c1,990$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad4…41eebacked Senators66c1,990$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.61050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d60…b70abacked Senators66c1,990$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.61258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9215…6f7cbacked Senators66c1,985$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.91145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bec…d2c3backed Sharks34c1,985$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.91163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb65c…7b0bbacked Senators66c1,985$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.91163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9024…85b6backed Sharks34c1,985$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.91163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc352…5410backed Senators66c1,985$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.91163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x532d…b228backed Sharks34c1,985$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.91154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Senators63c1,981$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.954856.3%27 W · 21 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f7e…6222backed Sharks34c1,980$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.2944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e7…d974backed Senators66c1,980$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.21250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4811…12edbacked Senators66c1,980$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.21040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5418…4bc4backed Sharks34c1,980$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.2944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a68…96afbacked Sharks34c1,980$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.2728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-38%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32b0…9d7abacked Senators66c1,980$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.21376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+41.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x85e1…063ebacked Senators66c1,975$1,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.51050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8082…8dbdbacked Senators66c1,975$1,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.51464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xade1…a4f1backed Sharks34c1,975$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdaef…e0b9backed Sharks34c1,975$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.51353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cd…46dbbacked Sharks34c1,970$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.8944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd27…09e5backed Senators66c1,970$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.8850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x893b…101dbacked Senators66c1,970$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.81040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5522…458cbacked Senators66c1,970$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.81258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a4…c2a8backed Sharks34c1,970$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.8837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e7…dababacked Sharks34c1,970$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.8944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa84…be0cbacked Senators66c1,965$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.11154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e4…57e4backed Sharks34c1,965$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.1728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff3d…efb7backed Senators66c1,965$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.1955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dda…3587backed Sharks34c1,965$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.1837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…73e1backed Senators66c1,965$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.11266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.