TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Wizards

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wizardsof Kings, Wizards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,395,133
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,478,341

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,395,133 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,778 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Wizards45c221,867$100,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121,064.987144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e6…d504backed Kings55c181,818$99,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99,528.8521057.1%120 W · 90 L+20.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Kings53c132,546$70,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,249.59043.3%39 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Kings53c104,330$55,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,295.143534.3%12 W · 23 L-6.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-39.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Kings0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Wizards47c94,973$44,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,647.381,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Wizards44c75,999$33,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,559.5151844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Kings56c71,314$39,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,936.0819653.6%105 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Wizards47c60,000$28,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,80043148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Wizards47c42,796$20,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,681.722453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Kings54c32,764$17,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,688.012,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Kings53c30,000$15,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,90038253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb383…f189backed Kings57c24,855$14,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,167.21425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac3c…d637backed Wizards43c21,700$9,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,3692128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-39.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x484a…faf1backed Kings57c21,700$12,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,3691080%8 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Wizards47c21,200$9,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,23659347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kings53c20,900$10,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,989.292,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Wizards44c20,216$8,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,312.3145850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Kings27c16,233$4,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,463.0348352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Wizards78c16,039$12,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,578.231,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wizards47c15,780$7,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,371.252,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe194…cd47backed Wizards48c15,680$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,180.211764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+71.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Kings54c14,820$7,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,970.324,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Wizards47c12,500$5,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,61046145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x449a…a3c8backed Kings59c11,000$6,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,4901145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80c2…561cbacked Wizards41c11,000$4,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,4901154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x561c…14d8backed Wizards44c10,221$4,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,723.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Wizards47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,3001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Kings54c10,000$5,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,387.5628742.9%123 W · 164 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb232…4172backed Kings0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee4…276fbacked Wizards78c10,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Wizards43c10,000$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,699.9635450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Kings54c9,608$5,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,188.151,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa26c…278dbacked Kings56c9,596$5,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,347.691752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37f6…fbfbbacked Kings55c9,393$5,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,166850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Wizards43c9,149$3,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,215.1472648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Kings51c9,139$4,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,660.7922457.1%128 W · 96 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Kings56c9,000$5,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,039.9820349.8%101 W · 102 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Wizards44c8,401$3,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,67591050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kings38c8,146$3,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,077.984,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Kings55c8,001$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,399.9748944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Kings52c8,000$4,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,159.9945348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Wizards47c7,723$3,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,093.421,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Wizards68c7,110$4,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,272.451,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Kings27c7,000$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,89037539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Wizards60c6,868$4,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,751.11,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Kings35c6,561$2,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,296.2411747%55 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Wizards47c6,500$3,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,44524252.5%127 W · 115 L+18.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd661…e79fbacked Kings55c6,395$3,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,517.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e1e…bca3backed Wizards44c6,195$2,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,442.251050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Kings54c6,116$3,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,291.893,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0dcd…c3d4backed Wizards45c6,089$2,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,348.951963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+31.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Wizards61c5,767$3,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,247.111,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Kings37c5,554$2,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,035.459849%48 W · 50 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x79e5…9417backed Kings35c5,519$1,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,929.266165.6%40 W · 21 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Kings54c5,500$2,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,97092753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Kings33c5,439$1,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,77850838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Kings56c5,400$2,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,996.9365939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Wizards60c5,266$3,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,089.61,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Kings2c5,042$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.281,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5169…805cbacked Wizards48c4,810$2,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,501.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcbb…4baebacked Kings52c4,800$2,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,49610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dbc…c280backed Kings52c4,800$2,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,49610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Kings44c4,793$2,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,125.5676850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8b0…91aebacked Wizards48c4,790$2,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,490.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0de1…8ad3backed Kings52c4,770$2,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,480.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd13…77fcbacked Wizards48c4,765$2,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,477.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Kings46c4,516$2,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.4232039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards49c4,491$2,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,283.193,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Kings54c4,410$2,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,381.512,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Wizards48c4,400$2,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,28815549.7%77 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Wizards70c3,892$2,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.2289444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe4f…6f34backed Kings55c3,633$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.15250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb175…69a8backed Wizards47c3,599$1,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,907.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+25.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x529e…1413backed Kings53c3,300$1,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,74910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2218…9467backed Wizards74c3,275$2,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.61118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick40cpaid-69.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings44c3,168$1,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,392.618,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wizards46c3,152$1,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,713.579,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Wizards45c3,147$1,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,730.851,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d07…74a6backed Wizards47c3,015$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,597.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Kings53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,59037944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Kings53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,59013954.7%76 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Wizards46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Wizards46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62027051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Wizards55c2,916$1,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,301.8513452.2%70 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Wizards47c2,915$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,544.879838.8%38 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Kings29c2,891$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.3923747.7%113 W · 124 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Wizards44c2,843$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,577.9865750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Kings54c2,787$1,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,503.471,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Kings54c2,780$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.9913534.1%46 W · 89 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Wizards48c2,747$1,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,428.333945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8382…6c17backed Kings55c2,700$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4851163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+30.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Wizards66c2,654$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.8535942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19ff…d0d0backed Kings54c2,407$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3008246.3%38 W · 44 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Kings56c2,400$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.9986641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Wizards47c2,364$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.1877348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Kings56c2,333$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,306.4839051.5%201 W · 189 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Kings56c2,304$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29023052.6%121 W · 109 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab85…81e6backed Wizards47c2,266$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.0514855.4%82 W · 66 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Wizards75c2,254$1,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.8638046.6%177 W · 203 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.