NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0edcbf09da44f0cb3f44615cf94fb0f6584f1d89b90adb065203c7e53f919088
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xebe0…2839backed Under | 54c | 3,855$2,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15a8…af0fbacked Over | 46c | 3,789$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 3,758$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.93 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aed…2a4cbacked Over | 46c | 3,587$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf82e…4802backed Over | 46c | 3,500$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb240…f55ebacked Under | 54c | 3,500$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda4…6928backed Under | 54c | 3,232$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…7ecebacked Under | 52c | 3,188$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf82d…df2abacked Under | 54c | 2,855$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd45e…1e76backed Over | 46c | 2,566$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4d…77dabacked Under | 54c | 2,131$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…c2febacked Over | 46c | 2,123$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09de…4b9abacked Under | 54c | 2,055$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d35…600abacked Over | 46c | 2,052$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bd…ca52backed Under | 54c | 2,041$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…68dbbacked Over | 46c | 2,041$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e9…b921backed Under | 54c | 2,036$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01d9…ef05backed Over | 46c | 2,036$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3772…24edbacked Over | 46c | 2,034$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b5…b9e9backed Under | 54c | 2,033$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8007…0669backed Over | 46c | 2,022$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8a…1fcabacked Under | 54c | 2,012$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 10c | 1,748$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.19 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Under | 56c | 1,689$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.75 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 1,231$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.48 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Over | 43c | 880$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.1 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 59c | 523.52$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.72 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 54c | 475.73$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.1 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 42c | 474.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 41c | 435.5$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.03 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 347.93$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.7 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Under | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd4…35b5backed Over | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 23c | 295.84$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…416abacked Under | 78c | 198$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.81 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 45c | 165.02$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.48 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 42c | 156.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 57c | 144$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.48 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…be9abacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 53c | 95.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.74 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x457f…cf1dbacked Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 44c | 56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…9599backed Under | 55c | 40.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 38c | 39.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Under | 53c | 28.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 68c | 27.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 54c | 27.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…e5d1backed Under | 58c | 26.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad5…7492backed Under | 79c | 25.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 47c | 24.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 181 | 50.3%91 W · 90 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Under | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5this page
- Alexandre Sarr: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 20.5No won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Khris Middleton: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Kings vs. WizardsWizards won
- Kings vs. Wizards: O/U 204.5Over won
- Kings vs. Wizards: O/U 213.5Over won
- Kings vs. Wizards: O/U 218.5Over won
- Kings vs. Wizards: O/U 222.5Over won
- Kings vs. Wizards: O/U 224.5Over won
- Kings vs. Wizards: O/U 226.5Over won
- Kings vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5Over won
- Kings vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5Under won
- Kings vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5Under won
- Kyshawn George: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Kings (-2.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Kings (-3.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Wizards (-2.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Wizards (-4.5)Kings won
- Spread: Wizards (-5.5)Kings won
- Spread: Wizards (-7.5)Kings won
- Zach LaVine: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.