TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5993…33a2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
538
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT38046.6%177 W · 203 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 380 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.09
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$44.07
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$63.89
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$65.43
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.25
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$16.58
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.46
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Nets vs. Lakersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.57
Wizards vs. Warriorsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$74.54
Wizards vs. Pelicansbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$358.19
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,363Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,363
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,655Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,655.31
Magic vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,324Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$2,324
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,847Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+77.6%+$1,433.21
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$467
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$320
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,514Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,514
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$201.49
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$816Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$816
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+51.5%+$254.18
Bulls vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,346Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,346
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+51.1%+$168.59
Showing 25 of 380 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT5745.6%26 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,010.46
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$487.57
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$73
Manchester City FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$715Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$715
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$958Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$958
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$468
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$443.4
Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$700
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$700
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+81.8%+$409.09
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,100
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+81.8%+$240.95
Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+56.3%+$562.5
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+117.4%+$1,173.91
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,900Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+26.2%+$498.73
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+150%+$120
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$107.88
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,053Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+63.9%+$673.48
Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$855Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$854.84
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,056Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,056
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$762Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$762
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+45.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.58
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,025.73
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,288Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+117.4%+$1,512
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,251Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+51.5%+$644.64
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+88.7%+$292.64
FC Barcelona vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,062Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$3,061.57
FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,227Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+40.4%+$1,708.81
FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,995Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+100%+$2,994.5
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$867Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$867.37
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+809.1%+$2,308.01
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+88.7%+$1,861.94
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,338Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$1,338.34
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,018Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,018
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$906Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$509.83
FC Bayern München vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$5,120Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$2,880
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,189Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$2,911
All 17 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First Round Pool C: Japan vs. South Koreabacked South Korea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$211
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000.89
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$656Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+75.4%+$494.5
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$509.6
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$716Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$715.52
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,095Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+70.1%+$767.66
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+82.6%+$392.95
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,778Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,778.22
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,395Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+67%+$1,604.99
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,778Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+60.7%+$1,080
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$432
All 11 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-52%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$1,159.71
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$448
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,184Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+86.3%+$2,748.21
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$126
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+194.1%+$94.03
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$986Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$986.08
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,308Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,308.06
Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$95.4
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,438Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$4,438
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$900
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$867Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+61.3%+$531.62
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$440
Will Bayern München win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+61.3%+$1,225.81
Will FC Augsburg win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+28.2%+$33.85
Bayern München vs. FC St. Pauli: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,077Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+77.5%+$2,386.3
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+53.8%+$350
Bayern München vs. Bayer Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,188Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,188.49
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$968Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$967.98
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick26cpaid-80.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-78.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 3.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+85.2%+$55.2
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+81.8%+$90
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+117.9%+$47.17
FC Barcelona vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$594Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$593.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$778Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$778
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+156.4%+$67.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$6,422Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$6,421.89
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,282Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,282.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$232
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$114
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$423.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
US Cremonese vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+81.8%+$450
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+79.2%+$278.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+75.4%+$378.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA say "H20" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+26.6%+$4.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.