Champions League · resolved market
FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d9938bb276edc9eca9a06c2834456fa799c0dba137e9886a287b4d2527ef82f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $528,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $527,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $528,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7435…a620backed Over | 71c | 130,297$91,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,344.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 29c | 103,211$30,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,285.54 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 62,484$21,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,635.04 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 31c | 50,000$15,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,500 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 29c | 41,575$12,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,023.93 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 65c | 40,300$26,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,092.99 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 31c | 24,033$7,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,450.31 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 31c | 8,523$2,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,606.42 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 29c | 8,086$2,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,345.05 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 34c | 7,061$2,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,391.3 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…a696backed Under | 31c | 6,500$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Over | 71c | 5,936$4,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.81 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 33c | 4,559$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.13 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 70c | 4,557$3,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.42 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be6…2006backed Over | 73c | 4,110$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 30c | 4,053$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.16 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Over | 43c | 4,000$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Under | 27c | 3,681$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.8 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 58c | 3,399$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.81 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Under | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11cf…2674backed Over | 74c | 2,816$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.26 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…98b9backed Over | 72c | 2,778$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x872e…73d7backed Under | 1c | 2,600$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Under | 1c | 2,077$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Under | 34c | 1,995$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.42 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -9.9wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -60%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Over | 69c | 1,994$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.03 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf55…a7e0backed Over | 36c | 1,906$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +125.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.71 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 32c | 1,576$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.47 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Over | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Over | 69c | 1,455$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.17 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 48cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Under | 37c | 1,322$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.88 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…fc20backed Over | 71c | 1,305$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 67c | 1,279$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.12 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…07f2backed Over | 71c | 1,130$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.38 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 70c | 1,010$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Under | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Over | 47c | 983.97$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.22 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…7661backed Over | 72c | 963$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.64 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 30c | 933$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.9 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…56cbbacked Over | 43c | 883.72$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Over | 69c | 863.53$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.53 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 27c | 800$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Under | 29c | 777$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.33 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1901…21c8backed Under | 71c | 704.3$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb0…7578backed Over | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24e…f8e1backed Under | 30c | 664.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Under | 6c | 653$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Over | 36c | 621.53$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.78 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 34c | 600$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.41 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 28c | 599.94$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.98 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Under | 69c | 579.71$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Under | 30c | 570$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.4 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd3…0591backed Over | 72c | 555.28$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ab…507ebacked Under | 57c | 553.95$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Under | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6976…f99bbacked Over | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…bd87backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 28c | 444$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.32 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 358.8$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.21 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 69c | 317.56$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.56 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Over | 69c | 315$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Over | 38c | 305.95$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.69 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Under | 29c | 300$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…a742backed Over | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Over | 33c | 285.82$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.5 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 70c | 273$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.45 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Over | 63c | 239.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.95 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked Under | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 69c | 234.78$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.78 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ba…2652backed Under | 32c | 222.91$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x678b…beafbacked Over | 70c | 215.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.81 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 73c | 205.64$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 71c | 205$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…3e6cbacked Under | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1071…42cebacked Under | 21c | 200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked Over | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Over | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked Over | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Under | 59c | 188.41$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.16 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…265ebacked Over | 72c | 159.71$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…94b2backed Over | 69c | 159.42$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 32c | 152.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Under | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc7…f1b8backed Over | 68c | 148.41$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e1…682abacked Over | 70c | 148.16$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 69c | 145.72$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.17 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -5.8wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 36c | 144.44$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.44 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 48c | 142.98$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.72 | 217 | 45.6%99 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…b8b0backed Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cbf8backed Over | 51c | 134.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.74 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Under | 32c | 133$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Under | 40c | 117.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Under | 26c | 114.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 42c | 113.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.83 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x220e…3b20backed Over | 74c | 109.08$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.